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Obama has slight edge over Romney in Michigan poll (O 44.5 R 40.5 - Undecided 13.5)

Posted on 10/18/2012 5:30:27 AM PDT by Perdogg

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TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Michigan
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; mi2012
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No crosstabs available
1 posted on 10/18/2012 5:30:30 AM PDT by Perdogg
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To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; Ravi; ...

ping


2 posted on 10/18/2012 5:31:56 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Perdogg

That’s a lot of undecided...

Which is good, I guess.


3 posted on 10/18/2012 5:32:36 AM PDT by Kingosaurus
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To: Kingosaurus

Look, a sitting Dem at 44.5% in Michigan with 13.5% undecided with 19 days to go. Think about it for a second. You don’t even need a second.


4 posted on 10/18/2012 5:37:19 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Kingosaurus

Look, a sitting Dem at 44.5% in Michigan with 13.5% undecided with 19 days to go. Think about it for a second. You don’t even need a second.


5 posted on 10/18/2012 5:37:19 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: Kingosaurus

It is very good. Undecideds this late in a race almost always break hard for the challenger. Usually to the toon of 75% or more.

If these number are accurate then Romney would win Michigan.


6 posted on 10/18/2012 5:38:16 AM PDT by commish (After Four Years of Obama, America needs a little R & R.)
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To: Perdogg
"I was going to vote for Obama like I did in '08, but now I'm kind of thinking about switching to Romney."

O.K. we'll put you down as 'undecided.'

7 posted on 10/18/2012 5:39:01 AM PDT by Homer_J_Simpson ("Every nation has the government that it deserves." - Joseph de Maistre (1753-1821))
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To: Springman; cyclotic; netmilsmom; RatsDawg; PGalt; FreedomHammer; queenkathy; madison10; ...
I wish it was someone other than Romney but I really think we can pull this off.
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8 posted on 10/18/2012 5:39:48 AM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: Perdogg
You can say that again! Oh wait, you did.

;)

9 posted on 10/18/2012 5:43:09 AM PDT by Michael.SF. (Obama Lied, Stevens died.)
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To: Homer_J_Simpson

“O.K. we’ll put you down as ‘undecided.”

This is how it’s done too.

What’s so precious about this is I was going to say the undecideds would break 2-1 and boom, Michigan is a red state.

Someone said 75% before me, like it or not it looks like Michigan may turn red. If they call Michigan and Ohio for Romney it’s GG see you in 2016.


10 posted on 10/18/2012 5:46:39 AM PDT by PittsburghAfterDark
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To: Perdogg

If this poll is accurate, Gov. Romney would need more than 2/3 of the undecided to take Michigan.

It’s not out of the realm of possibility, but this is a Dem-leaning state.

However, with it being this close, with such a high number of undecideds, it will require the anti-Christ to devote resources to Michigan. Which will be time, money, surrogates, visits, that won’t go to Ohio, Colorado, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, etc.

Obviously, when you can force the enemy to defend its home turf, it gives you an advantage in the territory that’s really up for grabs.


11 posted on 10/18/2012 5:57:43 AM PDT by sitetest (If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
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To: commish

“Usually to the toon of 75% or more.” — Toon like in Cartoon? IT is good news. If Michigan weren’t such a union thug state+Detroit and other cities like it such hell holes for voter fraud, if it was a TRUE vote, I’d say Romney would stand a really good chance. The people’s basic values are more conservative — but it always seems like there are enough thugs around to spoil things. I would LOVE for it to be federal law that someone must show a picture ID to vote.


12 posted on 10/18/2012 6:04:57 AM PDT by gemoftheocean (...geez, this all seems so straight forward and logical to me...)
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To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; Ravi; ...

From ML Live: From Indies, Romney had 38.5 percent to Obama’s 29.8 percent, with 26.6 percent unsure. Romney was up among men overall, 43.3 percent to 40.7 percent, but trailed Obama among women, 47 percent to 38.2 percent.


13 posted on 10/18/2012 6:05:22 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: sitetest

On the other hand if the Obamabots feel they might lose MI, they know they will also lose the election so there is no point to put money there (MI in this case is just a loss indicator). They would have to double down on OH and just hope the blue states stay blue.

It’s a bit like PA for Romney. No point to put money there because it is just an indicator of a landslide victory. Romney needs to concentrate on OH and let the others fall where they may.

Then again, what do I know—I just make up crap as I go.


14 posted on 10/18/2012 6:09:23 AM PDT by GnL
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To: GnL

The Romney pacs are running lots of ads now. I also was told they are buying Romney ads on the west side starting last night. MI is in play


15 posted on 10/18/2012 6:15:39 AM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: crosslink

Good point. Forgot about all the PACs. Living in a solid blue state, we don’t get to see all that stuff.


16 posted on 10/18/2012 6:19:19 AM PDT by GnL
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To: Perdogg

The 13.5% have a lot of people who live near the main Rat thug centers who would be afraid to tell a stranger on the phone that they will be voting for anyone but the community organizer.


17 posted on 10/18/2012 6:19:57 AM PDT by Proud2BeRight
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To: Perdogg

The poll was conducted by Denno Research, whose president (Dennis Denno) is chief of staff to Democrat State Senator (from Detroit) Virgil Smith Jr.

Also, the poll was conducted before the VP debate.

IOW - this poll is nearly worthless.


18 posted on 10/18/2012 6:21:04 AM PDT by kidd
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To: GnL
Dear GnL,

The thing is, according to your theory, if Michigan goes Romney, Ohio is probably already toast for the anti-Christ.

But let's say they see some hope in Ohio they don't see in Michigan. Ohio is 18 electoral votes, Michigan is 16. If Gov. Romney wins Florida, North Carolina and Virginia, he only needs 22 more electoral votes to win.

The only advantage for the anti-Christ in going Ohio rather than Michigan is that Gov. Romney wins with Ohio and New Hampshire (and the rest of the toss-ups to the anti-Christ), but loses if it's Michigan and New Hampshire (and the rest of the toss-ups to the anti-Christ).

The problem is, Colorado is looking good for the governor, and you gotta figure, if he gets Michigan, he will get Colorado.

And then it's over, whether the anti-Christ gets Ohio or not.

No - I think the Kenyan just can't give up on Michigan.


sitetest

19 posted on 10/18/2012 6:27:16 AM PDT by sitetest (If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
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To: Perdogg

We don’t know crosstabs, but it’s hard to oversample Ds in MI. Still, very, very good.


20 posted on 10/18/2012 6:30:00 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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