[ScottinVA]

Today’s swing-state #s: Obama 50, Romney 47.

WTF?

[snarkytart]

I have no idea especially with NC, FL and VA supposedly firmly in Romneys corner.

[Kingosaurus]

“Today’s swing-state #s: Obama 50, Romney 47. WTF?”

A combined swing state poll number isn’t doing anyone any good.

You need to look at the individual states, how each one looks now, how it’s trending, and when the most recent reliable polling was done.

Having one number is pointless, whether that number has O ahead or behind.

[p. henry]

Ras is including Michigan and Pennsylvania in the swing states and shows fairly large leads for Obama in those states. Conversely, in swing states where some polls have shown sizeable Romney leads (Florida, Virginia, and North Carolina) Ras shows much more modest Romney leads. Let not your heart be troubled. Romney will win both the popular vote and the electoral college vote.