“Today’s swing-state #s: Obama 50, Romney 47. WTF?”
A combined swing state poll number isn’t doing anyone any good.
You need to look at the individual states, how each one looks now, how it’s trending, and when the most recent reliable polling was done.
Having one number is pointless, whether that number has O ahead or behind.
True. The “swing state tracker” is likely misleading. The MI, PA and WI components might bias this group to the net -3 negative for Romney. The composite says nothing about other states that matter: VA, OH, FL, CO, NH, IA, NC and NV, where the total spread is likely in Romney’s favor, but not enough to balance the MI, PA and WI components.