Thanks. Been wondering when the new numbers would come out.
I am projecting at this point we will see a D+1 sample during the election (because despite this poll there still are technically more Dems than GOP who vote in prez races).....making me extremely confident that unless something big happens, Obama’s going down.
I believe even Ras’ D+3/5 model is wrong.
Ras’s old model was R +3.4
His new model is R +2.6
According to Ras, that is. I’ve seen nothing convincing that proves otherwise than what Ras says on his website. Nor can I come up with a good reason for him to publicize these numbers on his website and then do something entirely different.