Romney wins in a landslide -- Las Vegas oddsmaker doubles down on prediction

Fox News ^ | 10/09/2012 | By Wayne Allyn Root

[SeekAndFind]

For the past month, as Mitt Romney trailed badly in almost every poll, especially in the all-important battleground states, I continued to predict a big Romney victory. Today I’m making it official.

READ ON TO UNDERSTAND MY REASONS...

[cuban leaf]

Someone posted this a few days ago:

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map

I looked at the state by state breakdown over the last three presidential election cycles. If you just include the states that went to obama last time, but normally went R with the ones Romney has sewn up now, Romney wins. And he’ll get at least that.

That is when I stopped worrying even a little bit.

[bigbob]

Obama down bigtime, Romney up on Intrade as well.

[stephenjohnbanker]

We will look even better when Ryan finishes his debate with Neil Kinnoch....

NEIL KINNOCK at Welsh Labour Party conference May 1987:

“Why am I the first Kinnock in a thousand generations to be able to get to university? Was it because our predecessors were thick? Does anybody really think that they didn’t get what we had because they didn’t have the talent or the strength or the endurance or the commitment? Of course not. It was because there was no platform upon which they could stand”

JOE BIDEN IN Sept 1987 during his first presidential campaign:

“Why is it that Joe Biden is the first in his family ever to go a university? Why is it that my wife... is the first in her family to ever go to college? Is it because our fathers and mothers were not bright? ...Is it because they didn’t work hard? My ancestors who worked in the coal mines of northeast Pennsylvania and would come after 12 hours and play football for four hours? It’s because they didn’t have a platform on which to stand.”

[BradtotheBone]

I heard Wayne Allen Root on the Joe Paggs show this morning. He is one of many on Obama’s enemies list who are currently being audited by the IRS.

[Obadiah]

I bought my election night fireworks last week.

[QualityMan]

you are absolutely correct.

thanks for posting this. i normally studiously ignore the puffingtonpost, and would have missed this.

[Pete]

The numbers are actually pretty easy to believe. If Romney has 43% that will vote for him no matter what and Obama has 42% that will do the same, that leaves 15% "undecided". If they break 2-1 against the incumbent (not an unreasonable assumption - see The Incumbent Rule), that gives Romney a 6% victory.

With regards to the EC, the 100-120 margin is consistent with the modeling by the two Colorado professors who have been right since 1980.

I think the only question is whether it will be bigger than 6% and be a complete landslide. If most of the independents go to Romney (again, see The Incumbent Rule) and the under 34's stay home, we could be talking about a 10 point margin of victory in the popular vote.

[cuban leaf]

Just finished the article. Excellent read. I look to those with good track records for predictions. It’s why Rasmussen and Pew are the only polls that matter to me at all.

[ssaftler]

As we say in Shul: “From your mouth to G-d’s ears!”

[No_More_Harkin]

I worry a little Dems will try something unethical; voter fraud, ballot dumping. i worry more that Obama’s lies, and the MSM who stump for him daily will dupe enough morons into voting for a second term.
I pray that there’s enough common sense left in this country to elect some semblance of a conservative, but unless we turn this ship around, Romney will just be a stumbling block on the road to complete socialism.

[AngelesCrestHighway]

P-A-R-T-Y!!!

[Last Dakotan]

I am a Las Vegas oddsmaker...

Is there an application and an interview process for the job?

[Eccl 10:2]

I bought my election night fireworks last week.

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

I’m going to blast Hendrix’s “Star Spangled Banner” from Woodstock at ear-splitting volume out my front window.

Also on the playlist will be James Brown’s “I Feel Good”

I’m open for suggestions - perhaps this could be a thread of its own.

[Trapped Behind Enemy Lines]

This is a very interesting article. Little reported in the news media is that Obama is tanking in Illinois of all places. Yes of course Obama will carry one party Chicago, but the suburbs and counties surrounding the city have turned sharply against him. The Dems have all but ruined Illinois and there is huge voter discontent in that state. Outside of the city limits of Chicago, Obama’s support in Illinois is tenous at best. The Romney campaign should start focusing there.

[Defiant]

We’re going to need at least 6 points to get rid of Obama. Any less, and the fraud and lawyers kick in. He needs to get his butt kicked so bad that he just goes away.

[texaschick]

I heard him on Paggs’ show this morning too. Pretty scary about all the things happening to him now. But I don’t think he’ll be backing down any time soon.

[cynwoody]

Intrade.com:

[pfflier]

This is better and more respectful than Hendricks version of the National Anthem :

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xqKNJFqZO08&feature=relmfu

Also on the same CD:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S0uw8jhQx5U&feature=relmfu

[profit_guy]

Awesome pic!