Only if you believe the cooked polls commissioned by the state-controlled media branch of the DNC.
Even Rasmussen says it's tight. Are you intentionally both so obnoxious and obtuse?
Romney may win despite himself, but it won't be because people want him to be President. Most believe, as I do, that he'll take care of his corporate cronies at the expense of true free-enterprise. This is exactly what Arnold did in California, for which Bush and Rove were largely responsible. They paid off the very folks who play both sides of the aisle, in fact, the big winners under Arnold play mostly to the left (Berkshire Hathaway investments).
Worse, in the process of taking over the Party apparatus, what you get is RINO apparatchiks. Once Rove set Gerry Parsky in place in California, conservative nominees in statewide elections never saw another dime of Party money. So if you think the GOP-e is bad now, you ain't seen nothin' yet. It's what RINOs do.
RINOs are horribly destructive to the cause of conservatism because the people, rightly, see them as corporate crooks. What they don't see is that the left is even worse in that regard because those corporations own the media. Somehow, in their need for both party and corporate money, conservative candidates never seem to make that case.