You should also take note that in 2008, 2010 the registered voters in the state were at 8.0 million there has been a loss between 2011 and 2012 of 490,000 registered voters on the Ohio rolls, or it now stands at 7.51 million in the state.......44% of that was eliminated from Cleveland (Cuyahoga County) alone and 350,000 of those now removed registered voters coming from Cuyahoga (Cleveland), Franklin (Columbus), and Hamilton (Cincinnati) areas combined.
On to your point about the Bad news: More Dems may be participating in early voting but the numbers are still down from 2008 on everything including Absentee ballot requests but enthusiasm is with the Republicans to go vote this time and Romney has a huge ground game going in Ohio to knock on doors and make phone calls. They are way ahead of McCains total numbers from 2008 already in the state.
Also note that Ohio lost 2 electoral votes during the census according to an article I read shortly after the release of those numbers. According to the information each electoral vote was representative of approximately 767,000 people. Take that number times 2 and you get approximately 1.5 million people who have left the state of Ohio since the 2000 census.......with 490,000 registered voters now removed from the voter rolls as well....AND......
I can tell you that that number is likely to go up, because one day after the article for the 490,000 removed voters came out, my spouse and I sent in our "Cancellation of our Registration to vote in the State of Ohio". We lived one county below Cleveland.
Hope this helps to know.......
What does the ground game look like in your county? I.E. yard signs, bumperstickers, volunteer activity, door to door operations, phone banking etc? According to the polls (which I don’t trust because of all of the overweighting in favor of the Dems) Ohio is already in Obama’s column. They even have it colored blue in the realclearpolitics map.
For what it’s worth, I know live in L.A. Although few doubt that Obama will lose CA, I can tell you one thing for certain. I am on the freeways every day. Four years ago it seemed just about every other car had an Obama bumpersticker on it. This year you have to actually look for them. Ditto with the yard signs, you hardly see any of them, and I live in a very heavily Dem area. You seen no enthusiasm whatsoever...zip....nada.... for Obama here in the deepest of deep blue states. Not saying Obama will lose CA. I am saying NO NOTICEABLE ENTHUSIAM NOTHING! compared to four years ago.