What does the ground game look like in your county? I.E. yard signs, bumperstickers, volunteer activity, door to door operations, phone banking etc? According to the polls (which I don’t trust because of all of the overweighting in favor of the Dems) Ohio is already in Obama’s column. They even have it colored blue in the realclearpolitics map.
For what it’s worth, I know live in L.A. Although few doubt that Obama will lose CA, I can tell you one thing for certain. I am on the freeways every day. Four years ago it seemed just about every other car had an Obama bumpersticker on it. This year you have to actually look for them. Ditto with the yard signs, you hardly see any of them, and I live in a very heavily Dem area. You seen no enthusiasm whatsoever...zip....nada.... for Obama here in the deepest of deep blue states. Not saying Obama will lose CA. I am saying NO NOTICEABLE ENTHUSIAM NOTHING! compared to four years ago.
From what I here from my relatives still on the ground in Ohio, two Brothers (living in Cleveland and Akron respectively) and a Mother, very few Obozo signs and car stickers. It's a snoozefest compared to 2008.
From a friend I've heard that at my one son's private school, Preschool thru 8th grade, the arguments between liberal vs. conservative parents has broken out again like in 2000 and 2004 when Bush 2 won both times.... That's an insiders sign as to how the opposition, democrats, think they're doing and these people tend to know or are in organizations with Dems in the know who can tell them the truth about what they are seeing..,...So when the fights break out it usually means the Democrats are loosing in the state.
One thing I can tell you for sure is that Ohio is not in Obama's pocket, no matter how much he tries to convince the rest of the nation otherwise. They are attempting to discourage the republicans from coming out to vote becasue they know that on Election day in Ohio the Republicans come out in large numbers because so many of us don't trust that an absentee ballot vote will actually make it to the precinct to get counted.
I have relatives in L.A. too....it's no man's land out there......politically speaking.
In the one year I've been here in Atlanta, just outside of the 285 loop in northeastern side.....a lot of bumber stickers have been removed and it takes me a whole week just to see half a dozen Obozo stickers. I haven't seen one Obozo yard sign but the Romney ones are slowly coming out and I see more Romney stickers too everyday. We went to see the send off for Chipper Jones, retiring Atlanta Brave, in Downtown Atlanta - Turner Field, last Saturday night......I can't remember seeing the Obozo stickers at all....