“Only 9% of people contacted participate in the poll. That’s overwhelming self-selection.”
I use practically every caller-Id and caller-blocker known to mankind, including myself. For example, I never answer 202 or 703 area codes, nothing that looks like a poll, nothing that looks like a fake Caller-ID.
And I was just talking this morning to a friend who owns some significant-sized small global businesses, and he brought up the same notion, namely, that he does the same thing that I do, and knows many others who do the same, that is, he ducks the blizzard of political calls and thinks the polls are worthless due to this self-selection.
He also made another interesting point, namely, that he has several liberal acquaintances who avowedly fall all over themselves to answer these polls to give their pro-Obama views.
So on the one hand we have conservatives ducking the polls, and yet on the other hand we have rabid liberals enthusiastically answering the polls. I wonder what the REAL numbers will look like on November 7? My guess is nowhere near what the ObamaMedia polls are claiming.
These pollsters work hard to account for exactly that. They are professionals, though we’ve caught them in either very dumb assumptions or out and out bias. I suspect bias because they’re just not that dumb. This is their business.
That said, let’s not get cocky. We must GOTV and win up and down the ticket. We need to hold Congress for at least a generation.