These pollsters work hard to account for exactly that. They are professionals, though we’ve caught them in either very dumb assumptions or out and out bias. I suspect bias because they’re just not that dumb. This is their business.
That said, let’s not get cocky. We must GOTV and win up and down the ticket. We need to hold Congress for at least a generation.
“These pollsters work hard to account for exactly that. “
Do you have any idea how it’s possible to account for the fact that a certain group of people dodge polls and a certain other group doesn’t? Even if that were possible, do the “models” build in that assumption? That is, do the models automatically boost the percentage of conservatives who actually answer and diminish the percentage of liberals who actually answer? If that’s the case, then why do the percentages of answers always line up exactly with the percentage of those in each category? Or do they actually tamper with the number of answers in the categories to bring them in line with the presumed bias and then claim that is then number who actually answered the telephone?