Posted on 09/27/2012 4:59:54 AM PDT by Evil Slayer
Certain media polls indicating Obama is ahead of Mitt Romney by as much as 10 to 12 points in swing states seem to spell disaster for Romney, but what they really say about the Obama campaign may just surprise you?
The absurdity of the skewed sample models in those polls is one thing, but what conservatives need to understand is that polls skewed to heavily favor Democrats logically point to one very important fact - Obama is in big trouble.
For one thing, Democrats and the liberal media are taking a huge chance by touting polls showing Obama up by double digits in crucial swing states as if these polls were totally valid. Obviously designed politically to depress and suppress Romney voters, these media driven and heavily reported polls can also backfire and suppress the Obama vote. Naturally, if you support Obama and are treated every day to wall-to-wall news headlines showing Obama so far ahead of Romney in the polls that the election is basically over, then you're less likely to go out of your way to vote in November. So there's a really fine line between turning out your voters and turning off your voters when using polling data like this. In this case, it is probably safe to say that internal Democrat polls show low enthusiasm and turnout expectations for Obama supporters across the electorate demographic, so the skewed poll strategy is worth the risk for the campaign.
This risky strategy also indicates that internal Democrat polling is probably more in line with Rasmussen and Dick Morris, showing that Obama is running even or maybe even losing ground to Romney in swing states. Conventional political wisdom makes this evident because a campaign wouldn't waste time and money in states where their candidate is up by 10 or
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
The skewed polls will backfire. conservative voters already do not trust anything that comes out of the mouthes of the drive bys. They are energized and if the purpose if to creat defeatism, it will not work. Too many people know Zee-rho must be defeated and will show up to make that so.
If they have a false hope that it will encourage people to get on the Zee-rho bandwagon and vote for the inevitable winner, well that ain’t gonna happen in THIS cycle. His support is comprised of a lot of folks who can’t even get up to go to work, let alone motivate themselves to make that special effort to gop out of their way to vote for more bennies...er, dumblecrats. IOW, his support is soft.
so I don’t even listen to them much...I might pay some attention around Nov1. By that time even the drive bys will be aghast..just floored, that R2 has made a race out of it.
Spit on all of ‘em.
>>>>Pray for God to rebuke these liars<<<<
PSALM 37
12 The wicked plot against the righteous
and gnash their teeth at them;
13 but the Lord laughs at the wicked,
for he knows their day is coming.
14 The wicked draw the sword
and bend the bow to bring down the poor and needy,
to slay those whose ways are upright.
15 But their swords will pierce their own hearts,
and their bows will be broken.
16 Better the little that the righteous have
than the wealth of many wicked;
17 for the power of the wicked will be broken,
but the LORD upholds the righteous.
2 Chronicles 7:14 ~ If my people, who are called by my name, will humble themselves and pray and seek my face and turn from their wicked ways, then I will hear from heaven and will forgive their sins and heal their land.
Friday, September 28th begins the nationwide 40 Days of Prayer for America ... may the Lord have mercy upon us and sweep away the evil that is upon this nation, in the Name of Jesus, Amen ...
The polls are skewed because the libs anticipate a record election turnout for their boy. I believe it will happen .... record numbers of dead people and illegals will be voting.
I am betting R2 will winn NC by 55%-45%: there are almost no bumper stickers and yard signs for oblabla. The dumbles are in almost complete dissarray and their gubinatorial candidate is behind double digits. Having Dumplins Purdue drop out of the race was supposed to make the state more competiive for oblahblah. It didn’t work that way because folks around here are totally p-oed with the poser cretin.
There are enclaves of oblahblah support among teachers, universities, of which we have many, and public sector taxpayer money trough dwellers. They will make a dent...its why I only predict 10 pts instead of near 20.
I damn sure hope I am right and we can wash away the shame of our state having gone for this absolute disaster in 08.
It must be very close in both VA & OH. That is where they both are spending the most time.
I am putting together a ping list called the POLL Ping.
I see your interest. You are the first. If you object, please let me know.
There's your model for this election.
It also gives people like me, who are not enthused about him, to vote for him. It's like a vote against the LSM.
UnSkewed PollsThis is why his campaign said a couple days ago that people should ignore the national polls. Even though all their lapdogs are issuing laughable poll results. Rassmussen was/is the only Poll that showed it close and Barry slightly ahead, based on likely voters, but was still 'slightly' weighted (skewed) in the RATS favor.
UnSkewed Polling Data, Thursday, September 27, 2012, 7:27:00 AM
UnSkewed Avg. 9/4 -- 9/20 -- Obama: 44.0; Romney: 51.8 = Romney +7.8Obama's Approval - Disapproval numbers:
Approval: 44.1; Disapproval: 52.9 = Disapproval 8.8
So the fact is these new Polls being pushed by the MSM saying Obama has it locked and Romney is done are 100% Bullsh out of whack. They're 'predicting' (lying) a higher Dem Voter turnout than in 2008. Which just happened to be the highest turnout in history.
But taking reality into account as UnSkewed Polls does, and things like Barry only drawing 5,000 to a Wis Rally (and the MSM reporting 18,000!! LOL!), and 200 showing up for Biden, they know Barry's goose is cooked. There ain't going to be any 'historic' Dem turnout, period.
I'm not saying Romney has it locked either, it's too early and things can happen but Barry's Admin is falling apart. The 9-11 Libyan Terrorist Attack lies are now out in the open, the entire ME is up in flames, and he looks like a dunce. Even some of his toadies in the MSM are rebelling during the daily WH pressers and actually asking tough questions.
The MSM is playing Baghdad Bob. Denying US Troops are in Baghdad while dodging bullets live on TV.
I am putting together a ping list called the POLL Ping.
I see your interest. You are the first. If you object, please let me know.
http://voterfind.tzo.org/warrenoh/pdf/A201211MIHN!LANNXXDR!CGLSNXX.pdf
It would be appreciated.
Also, NC Freepers, I have a question. If you go HERE: http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html
Am I reading this correctly that in ABSENTEE voting the Rs have a 16+ edge or does this refer to statewide registration advantage?
Well, he will be in PA tomorrow, what would that tell you?
I could see something like this election night. No concession speech, just Axelrod going on TV and saying "THEY" are looking into the results and making sure that blacks, gays, progressives were not disenfranchised. That it is Obama’s duty to make sure the election was fair. Days go by and nothing but MSM obfuscating as Obama like a Mad King is making preps to bunker down in the White House and hope an army of lawyers, the mobs of parasites and his die hard supporters can save him. Its not totally outrageous it may have to come to a warning from Congress and the military that Obama has to make haste and make plans to leave Presidency or he may have to be physically removed from the Oval Office. Think its that far off? We are not dealing with an emotionally stable individual here..
Polls will become more accurate after the media touted debates. Romney will win the debates; he had very good performances in the primary and Obama neither won nor loss against McCain. Then the media will publish accurate polls and write the story that the debates matter, blah, blah, blah. This makes the MSM more relevant because the debate are their creation. Let's face it, if the race is truly over by early September, the MSM would have to admit they don't matter. This way, they can report coverage and debates matter and so do they, the holy carriers of free press.
Yes, please add my name. Thanks.
Added.
Added.
How about polls concerning GOP VS. Dem enthusiasm for turning out to vote?
Hmmm.
I’m going to vote at least once! :)
Could you add me as well? Thanks!
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