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1 posted on 09/26/2012 9:08:43 PM PDT by Senator Goldwater
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To: Senator Goldwater

More from Morris:

So here’s where the race really stands today based on Rasmussen’s polling:

• Romney leads decisively in all states McCain carried (173 electoral votes).

• Romney is more than ten points ahead in Indiana – which Obama carried. (11 electoral votes)

• Romney leads Obama in the following states the president carried in 2008: Iowa (44-47) North Carolina (45-51), Colorado (45-47), and New Hampshire (45-48). He’ll probably win them all. (34 electoral votes).

This comes to 218 of the 270 Romney needs. But…

• Obama is below 50% of the vote in a handful of key swing states and leads Romney by razor thin margins in each one. All these states will go for Romney unless and until Obama can show polling support of 50% of the vote:

• Obama leads in Ohio (47-46) and Virginia (49-48) by only 1 point (31 electoral votes)

• Obama leads in Florida (48-460) and Nevada (47-45) by only 2 points (35 electoral votes)

If Romney carries Ohio, Virginia, and Florida, he wins. And other states are in play.

• Obama leads in Wisconsin (49-46) by only 3 points (10 electoral votes)

• Obama’s lead in Michigan is down to four points according to a recent statewide poll

• Obama is only getting 51% of the vote in Pennsylvania and 53% in New Jersey. And don’t count out New Mexico.

It would be accurate to describe the race now as tied. But Romney has the edge because:

• The incumbent is under 50% in key states and nationally. He will probably lose any state where he is below 50% of the vote.

• The Republican enthusiasm and likelihood of voting is higher

• The GOP field organization is better.

That’s the real state of play today.


2 posted on 09/26/2012 9:09:53 PM PDT by Senator Goldwater
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To: Senator Goldwater

Well one good thing is going to come out of this election. Either the GOP Establishment pundits like Rove and Morris are going to get their ass handed them or the Leftist Media pollsters are.


3 posted on 09/26/2012 9:11:09 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: Senator Goldwater

Pretty sure Morris is flat out lying on this one. Even the Romney camp is saying they are behind, just not as far behind as the public polls suggest.

At the same time, I sure hope he is correct.


6 posted on 09/26/2012 9:20:39 PM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: Senator Goldwater

Toe-Sucker Speaks!


16 posted on 09/26/2012 9:34:54 PM PDT by Old Sarge (We are now officially over the precipice, we just havent struck the ground yet)
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To: Senator Goldwater

Morris did hit 2010 on the nose and had a very good sense of the voters’ intensities. I recall in 2008 that Morris was urging McCain to go hard on Obama’s background, especially the Reverend Wright stuff. I do not recall him predicting a McCain win.

He did say that if McCain went hard on vetting Obama on Wright, his Chicago connections with Rezko and his pathetic, brief state senate and US senate experience, he could still win. We all know how badly McCain ran his campaign and the catastrophic consequences.


31 posted on 09/26/2012 9:50:04 PM PDT by untwist
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To: Senator Goldwater

Morris did hit 2010 on the nose and had a very good sense of the voters’ intensities. I recall in 2008 that Morris was urging McCain to go hard on Obama’s background, especially the Reverend Wright stuff. I do not recall him predicting a McCain win.

He did say that if McCain went hard on vetting Obama on Wright, his Chicago connections with Rezko and his pathetic, brief state senate and US senate experience, he could still win. We all know how badly McCain ran his campaign and the catastrophic consequences.


32 posted on 09/26/2012 9:50:45 PM PDT by untwist
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To: Senator Goldwater
I wish the Romney-Ryan team was not so far behind in the polls in OHIO, but then I realized that we have the Three C's, Cincinnati, Columbus and Cincinnati with their big inner city Democrap voting blocs. Add those to the big voting blocs of inner city Toledo,Dayton,Youngstown, and the whole Northern Ohio area, and all the college student Obobo lovers, white guilt people, and you will see that we (Conservatives,Republicans) are outnumbered. I wish it wasn't true, but wishing isn't going to help. Too many people getting the freebies! I'm not giving up, just stating my opinion.
38 posted on 09/26/2012 10:01:06 PM PDT by timestax (Why not drug tests for the President AND all White Hut staff ? ? ?)
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To: Senator Goldwater

why would latinos go for bammey?....blacks and latinos don’t get along for the most part....


47 posted on 09/26/2012 11:33:30 PM PDT by cherry
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To: Senator Goldwater

IF Romney pushed conservative principles as much
as he CASHES checks, he could WIN.

Does he want to?
It is not clear.

Romney is essentially MIA, defined by the MSM and the DNC.


60 posted on 09/27/2012 4:21:50 AM PDT by Diogenesis (Vi veri veniversum vivus vici)
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To: Senator Goldwater

God will have a role to play in this election and it’s not easy to poll for that. God will be with us on November 6 just like God is with us every single day.

God shall reveal His will soon enough. We just need to be patient. Those of us who trust God know that we have nothing to worry about and that God shall soon show us the way He has chosen for us.


70 posted on 09/28/2012 6:32:19 PM PDT by Tau Food (Tom Hoefling for President - 2012)
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