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Quinnipiac Pollster Admits: ‘Probably Unlikely’ That Electorate Will Feature Massive Dem Skew
NewsBusters ^ | 9-26-2012 | Matthew Sheffield

Posted on 09/26/2012 12:18:38 PM PDT by smoothsailing

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SKEWED

1 posted on 09/26/2012 12:18:41 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

“Quinnipiac Pollster Admits: ‘Probably Unlikely’ That Electorate Will Feature Massive Dem Skew”

That’s right, jackwagon. Start walking that cart back to reality-ville.


2 posted on 09/26/2012 12:23:26 PM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: smoothsailing

“polling equivalent of pornography” - LOL!

For a Cleveland Browns fan Hewitt can be funny at times.


3 posted on 09/26/2012 12:26:12 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: smoothsailing

Why is newsbusters putting this out now? That interview is pretty old, I remember hearing it a day or two after it happened.


4 posted on 09/26/2012 12:26:38 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: VanDeKoik
“That’s right, jackwagon. Start walking that cart back to reality-ville.”

Quinnipiac University BS'ing in their polls for years.

5 posted on 09/26/2012 12:31:24 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Hey, my husband is a Browns fan and he is funny ALL the time!...


6 posted on 09/26/2012 12:33:18 PM PDT by Anti-Hillary (Barry, Barry quite contrary, how does your government grow?...)
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To: smoothsailing
Quinnipiac Pollster Admits: ‘Probably Unlikely’ That Electorate Will Feature Massive Dem Skew,

Gee, ya think?

It's kind of funny, the defense the guy offers is actually a good defense of the honesty of the poll if he's telling the truth, but it would also mean that it's an honest poll that has no connection to reality at all. The pool you called had more Democrats? Well great, but unless 9% more Dems show up on Nov 6 than Republicans, your poll means squat.

7 posted on 09/26/2012 12:34:10 PM PDT by Mr. Silverback (Reagan @ only 39/Mondale +5/Dukakis +17/McCain +3...panic is unwarranted. So is complacency.)
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To: VanDeKoik
HEWITT seemed to be asking that the numbers derived with a straight forward random sample poll BE CHANGED!!!!!

When you do that it's not a random sample poll anymore.

Do you seriously believe the polls should be weighted and adjusted ~ .......... ~ isn't the background complaint that the Democrats are weighting and adjusting the polls so they no longer reflect the reality?

Do you think you can have it both ways ~ pure random selection polls that are not weighted and adjusted unless they are weighted and adjusted!?

Recognize that in 2008 the Democrats turned out 15% more Democrat voters than the Republicans turned out Republican voters. 15% is a huge difference and Hewitt is quibbling over 9% ~ is he the source of this utterly confusing and baseless debate over oversampling (as some call it)

8 posted on 09/26/2012 12:40:48 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: smoothsailing

Peter Brown is the guy at Qunnipiac who is responsible for the most recent set of distorted polls.

peter.brown@quinnipiac.edu

Here are the rest of the gang. A bunch of liberal hacks.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/staff

peter.brown@quinnipiac.edu

mickey.carroll@quinnipiac.edu

schwartz@quinnipiac.edu

timothy.malloy@quinnipiac.edu

april.radocchio@quinnipiac.edu

Michael Blair, manager of polling information and technology, michael.blair@quinnipiac.edu

Carmen Carranza, assistant manager of interviewer operations, carmen.carranza@quinnipiac.edu

Dorothy Donarum, manager of interviewer operations, dorothy.donarum@quinnipiac.edu

Ralph Hansen, manager of data analysis, ralph.hansen@quinnipiac.edu

Terri Vitelli, polling institute assistant, theresa.vitelli@quinnipiac.edu

Jonathan Wigglesworth, manager of CATI operations, jonathan.wigglesworth@quinnipiac.edu


9 posted on 09/26/2012 12:41:24 PM PDT by jimbo123
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To: SoFloFreeper
Why is newsbusters putting this out now? That interview is pretty old, I remember hearing it a day or two after it happened.

It's pretty good timing on NewsBuster's part, IMO. Quinnipiac just came out with another one of their corrupt polls today.

This Morning’s Polls Project More Heavily Democratic Electorates Than in 2008

10 posted on 09/26/2012 12:43:55 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: muawiyah

You base your post on the assertion that what the pollster said about “that’s how he found it” is true. I don’t agree with that assertion.


11 posted on 09/26/2012 12:49:51 PM PDT by ez (When you're a hammer, everything looks like a nail.)
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To: Mr. Silverback

HEWITT: And so if, in fact, you had gotten a hundred Democrats out of a hundred respondents that answered, would you think that poll was reliable?

BROWN: Probably not at 100 out of 100.

PRICELESS!!!!! :o)


12 posted on 09/26/2012 12:50:12 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: jimbo123

The go to pollsters for CBS and the New York Times. The results are so predictable.


13 posted on 09/26/2012 12:54:20 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: ez
Still, you don't know, and his discovery that he took a poll and found 9% more Democrats getting polled than Republicans really isn't out of line.

Used to work with a very bright woman who was convinced that half the people in America were black and half were white, and there were just a handful of others.

A review of the Census was not enough to convince her otherwise ~ she wanted it half and half, and that was the end of that.

So, you do know there are, in general, more Democrats than Republicans, right?

14 posted on 09/26/2012 12:54:23 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah

Polls are weighted to generate a turnout model. There are biases (or outside forces) that determine which party is more likely to turn out. Only an idiot would believe that turnout is random. For example, if Obama suddenly declared that he has a preference for urinating on the Bible do you think this would impact turnout or would turnout still be ran-dumb?


15 posted on 09/26/2012 12:55:13 PM PDT by tatown ( FUMD, FUAC, and FUGB)
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To: smoothsailing
Ask yourself, what if he'd found 100% Republicans? How would you feel then ~ good, bad, indifferent ~ something running up your leg maybe?

That's a poll BTW.

16 posted on 09/26/2012 12:56:57 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: Buckeye McFrog
Hewitt can be funny at times.

Rarely. He reminds me of Oriely. Flopping around in the middle so to keep as many listeners/readers as possible.

17 posted on 09/26/2012 12:57:32 PM PDT by showme_the_Glory (ILLEGAL: prohibited by law. ALIEN: Owing political allegiance to another country or government)
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To: muawiyah
Recognize that in 2008 the Democrats turned out 15% more Democrat voters than the Republicans turned out Republican voters.

In 2008, the advantage for Democrats was +8, nationwide

In Florida, it was +3 for the Democrats.

18 posted on 09/26/2012 1:00:59 PM PDT by justlurking (The only remedy for a bad guy with a gun is a good WOMAN (Sgt. Kimberly Munley) with a gun)
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To: smoothsailing

There is one silver lining to the skewed polls.

Eventually, the pollsters are going to slant more evenly for the sake of their own reputations. When they do, that will look like Romney is gaining and it will be hard for them to resist using the “momentum” word when discussing Romney’s rise in the polls. When voters here Romney is gaining momentum just before the election, they may be more inclined, not less inclined to think their vote matters enough to push him across the finish line.

It’s possible the Dem strategy is going to backfire on them. It may be helping them now but when Gallup, ARG and the rest want to protect their own credibility in November, they are going to have to start showing momentum for Romney.


19 posted on 09/26/2012 1:01:51 PM PDT by OrangeHoof (Our economy won't heal until one particular black man is unemployed.)
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To: muawiyah

Ask yourself why you ask such juvenile questions.


20 posted on 09/26/2012 1:01:54 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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