Grimm has a 10 point lead in a recent poll.
Not surprised. That district (Staten Island plus a small predominantly white segment of Brooklyn) has voted Republican for Congress since the 1980s, with the exception of 2008, when Vito Fossella was forced to resign because of a sex scandal.
With Zero at the top of the 'Rat ticket, the lack of enthusiasm among the Dems will be felt down the ballot in the district.