Posted on 09/18/2012 12:48:56 PM PDT by KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle
Karl Rove's weekly commentary on his updated Electoral Map:
"Four states changed status since last week's Electoral College map.
"Both Minnesota and Pennsylvania shifted from 'lean Obama' to 'safe Obama.' Michigan moved to 'lean Obama' for now. And Kentucky moved from 'lean' to 'safe' Romney.
"Barack Obama now has 214 'safe' Electoral College votes and only two 'lean' states (27 EC votes). These changes come after a week of heavy polling (there were 41 polls conducted in 20 states last week, compared to 13 surveys taken in nine states the week prior)
[SNIP]
"With Kentucky's change, Mitt Romney has 154 'safe' EC votes while three states (37 EC votes) 'lean' in his favor. The states in Mr. Romney's column are unlikely to change in the 50 days left until the election because they are all generally safe Republican states.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.investors.com ...
See #46. My personal gut feeling, again, is that Ohio and Florida are both where the genuinely important action is at, ultimately... and I haven’t seen anything yet to change that estimation. ;)
Saw S Rasmussen on Fox today it sounds like he is still using a +2 D model, not the +4.3 R in his partisan ID survey.
Still has Romney up 2 and of course historically the undecideds break 4/1 for the challenger.
It’s the NJ votes in PA that worry me.
Uh.....maybe Rove is saying these things because its his job
I dont have one myself but I understand jobs are where you do things and someone pays you for it.
Well, that’s what they seem to say publicly, but isn’t it interesting who they support? Generally it winds up being the same person.
If Romney wins, she’ll oppose him as much as she can get away with, because that will elevate her visibility. Sadly, if we watch closely, some of the stuff she’ll criticize will be good, and some of what she supports will be bad.
That’s the way it has played out on issue after issue and candidate after candidate. That’s not going to change.
Poll trolls.
No while they were polling the NEW BLACK PANTHERS were at the homes of the callers...
So true...NC is way out of the MOE for Romney so Rove can BS all he wants but if he keeps NC as “leans Romney”, he’s full of crap...
Frankenstein stole the damn thing....
However, even if Romney wins the debates, I wonder if voters are too dumb/selfish to be influenced. It's not just the MSM (DOJ in bed with Media Matters) any more.
"Nonpartisan" AARP election guide: State ID Laws Restrict Older Americans
BTW, the same “nonpartisan” AARP has been running TV ads pointing viewers to their “election guide.”
yeah the genius... nice try Karl keep hoping
as if it’s the first time this hack has done this kind of crapola. He hates the tea party and conservatives in general and that is the group that will win this election
If Pennsylvania goes obama it’s because of Philly, Pittsburgh and New York/New Jersey bastards moving here.
Romney is drawing decent crowds. People are reacting decently at the events. I’m not convinced he’s in trouble at all.
I’d like to see him farther ahead, but I’m not convinced he isn’t in a much better position than we have been led to believe.
The media is lying it’s ass off these days. Polls have been run with samples including all sorts of strange parameters.
Hang in there...
BTW: I used your link to the comments about older folks having problems with voter ID requirements. Over there it states that 18% of the elderly don’t have government issued ID.
Wow. How do you get through life without and ID? Now all of a sudden they want one?
Something smells fishy about this.
It’s possible Romney could win, although in my fairly conservative neighborhood, there are more Obama signs than Romney. It’s as if conservatives are ashamed of him (wonder why). I think they will vote for R. but they don’t feel quite right about it.
But even if he does win, he is already giving some strong hints of amnesty. Well, what did I expect?
Obama won NC by about 14000 votes in 08, the slimmest of margins.
Does anyone really think he will do better in 12 than 08?
I have seen few state polls that are reliable, based on actual results.
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