All these contradictory polls are giving me whiplash.
That’s because some of them are intended to suppress your vote, eg. CBS/NYT and NBC/Marest, TIMECNN/ORC
we should learn the hard lesson fromn ‘08...Rasmussen was on the front of the whipping line as he constantly called the race 6% for obama and he took a lot of crap on the pages here at Freep...
i would not worry about other polls- polling is Rasmussen’s bread and butter...
Rasmussen is one of the few reliable ones, IMO. Most of the others are trying to fool you. The media has really circled the wagons in the last few weeks, and it’s getting much harder for the truth to get through.
Here I will help you. Here is the rating of pollsters by accuracy in 2008. Instead of getting whiplash, trying to follow everyone simply tune out anyone outside the top 5.
1. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
2. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
3. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
4. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
5. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
5. ARG (10/25-27)*
6. CNN (10/30-11/1)
6. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
7. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
8. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
9. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
10. FOX (11/1-2)
11. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
12. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
13. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
14. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
15. Marist College (11/3)
16. CBS (10/31-11/2)
17. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
18. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
19. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
20. Newsweek (10/22-23)
In 1988 Dukakis was up by 17 in mid September and Carter was ahead of Reagan up to the last week.
The MSM meme is to trumpet these skewered polls to engender a malaise in republican voters. This election cycle is the one where this tactic will least work. I live an Massachusetts and know the chances of Romney getting this states electoral votes are slim but they will have to encircle the voting precinct with flowing lava to deter me this year.
Trust the most accurate polls in the business which is Rasmussen, Pew and Survey USA’s state polls.
The NBC, Nytimes, CBS, Washpost are historically inaccurate and known for their marxist bias.
I find them interesting but I don’t get beside myself over them. I think the real test will come AFTER the debates. That is when everybody will tune in and start formulating an opinion.