I also look at Rasmussen. He supports Republicans and his polling was the most accurate in 2008.
His numbers are scary too.
178 safe Romney
180 safe Obama
Here’s the bad part among the swing states
15 leans Romney
46 leans Obama
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/2012_electoral_college_scoreboard
But I am sensing the possible beginnings of a shift. Obama sympathizing with the Islamists who trashed our embassies and killed an American in Libya and Egypt will also hurt him I think.
So Ras has the essentially tied in the EV’s right now.
A small lead in a swing state means nothing right now for either side.
I was really down in the dumps over the weekend (read my posts) about 0bama’s “lead”. I’m seeing the light now. It’s not over at all.