I keep staring at the electoral map here -— scary stuff
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html
and even worse if you look at the “No Toss Ups”
The problem is that several large electoral states are locked in left
Ignore RCP. They throw in a lot of Democrat polls (PPP, Quinipiac, Daily Kos) in their averages.
It boils down to a handful of states: CO, OH, NC, VA, FL. If Romney wins all the McCain states plus these 5 he wins.
VA and NC are starting to break Romenys according to two new polls.
FL is a real toss up, but might slightly lean Romney right now.
CO and OH are breaking in 0bama’s direction, but Romney can change that with a heavy does of realistic negative ads.
A lot of folks also think Romney has a shot to also pick off IA, WI, MI, PA, NH and NV. But I don’t think he does at this point. I’m not so sure he does though.