Posted on 09/11/2012 12:56:41 PM PDT by Arthurio
On the days of September 8th and 9th, Gravis Marketing, a non-partisan research company, and Capitol Correspondent conducted a survey of 2,238 likely voters in the state of Virginia. The survey covered the same questions as the August survey, which comprised questions regarding the presidential election, Virginia’s senate race, the direction of the United States, and the effect of a libertarian candidate on Romney and Obama. Overall, from August to the most recent survey, Obama’s 44% to 40% lead has turned into a Romney lead of 49% to 44% in the most recent poll. Interestingly, Obama didn’t lose votes, rather Romney gained previously unsure voters or voters that previously planned on voting for a different candidate.
Who is Ahead in the Senate?
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Substantial poll.
Don’t believe those other crap polls. Romney is ahead.
Bump
Looking good.
ping
Rush was talking about the polls today, some analyst actually went in and rebalanced all the polls out there to the correct R/D/I projected turnout models and came up with a 5% - 8% Romney lead in every polls.
Allen leads Kaine 48-43!
We’re winning: Good poll!
We’re loosing: Bad poll!
Wow, this news couldn’t come at a better time. Reading this poll makes me think about how this election when its all said and done may not be close at all. We’re seeing a swing of at least 8 points towards the GOP from the Democrats in most states we are tracking. That’s more than enough to put Romney Ryan over the top.
Good news in VA. On the other hand, this same polling company has 0 ahead in Ohio by 4.
Allen ahead of Tim Kane in the Senate race by 5 points. A turnaround from August. Scroll down at the site to see the Senate race.
One fact that adds validity to this result is that the swing state polling has consistently showed a near tie while the national polling gave Barry a sizeable bump.
We-can-come-in-off-the-ledge bump
Undecideds broke 100% for Romney
In the end, it is going to come down to turnout on Election Day, and the drive behind early voting.
Nothing is a done deal yet. Some could still hinge on the outcome of the debates yet to be held. Should Romney do sufficiently well to put Current Occupant into a deepening shadow, even some of the “almost sure” O voters could still flee. Conversely, if Romney pulls a McCain concession on point after point, there is little encouragement, and all the doubts the T.E.A. party had about Romney will crop up in full bloom.
If Romney goes after Obama with even half the thrust he applied in skewering Rick Santorum or Newt Gingrich, the debates will be almost over before they are half through.
Polls that are not in line with basic demographic and party affiliation realities are bad polls.
Romney was ahead by 11 points in a NC poll released yesterday. It also shows him getting 30% of the black vote. That’s a bad poll.
Polls which show Romney up double digits with independents but trailing 0 are also bad polls.
Wow. This good news didn’t arrive too quickly. woohoo!!!!
Lets ignore ALL polls until the end of Oct.
Could it be that many of us here in the trenches will not talk to a pollster? That only the idle, loose-lipped folks have the time and inclination to respond?
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.