From the top of page 5:
BASED ON 441 REGISTERED DEMOCRATS — (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS.);
BASED ON 397 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS — (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5% PTS.)
............i also find it VERY hard to believe that 50% of the country believes Obama is best on issues of the economy vs. 49% for Romney...it’s very hard to trust these polls
Polling 110% Dems vs. GOP explains a lot.
Obama says he wants to raise taxes on the rich to help pay to put more Americans back to work. Why is it hard to believe that won’t sound good to most of the country? Liberal policies usually sound good on the surface. It’s the Republicans’ job to explain the logic behind why they’re wrong and why conservative policies are better. But the Republicans didn’t spend much time doing that at their convention, and not very well or clearly when they tried.
I notice that Obama leads among men 48%-47% among likely voters, which is about the same as in 2008. I doubt this will be the case this time given IMO fewer white votes.
Obama gets 42% of the white vote, which is about what he got last time--43%. I just don't believe it.
And Romney gets 54% to 40% of the independent vote. Obama got 52% of Independents compared to 44% for McCain. Independents were 29% of the vote. Compare that to the 18% in the CNN poll.
Yeah.
1) There are more R than D right now.
2) They sampled more D than R.
3) Independents 54/40 for Romney
Moving the D convention to a place 1/4 the size tells me a lot by itself.
Yeah.
1) There are more R than D right now.
2) They sampled more D than R.
3) Independents 54/40 for Romney
4) R is pumped to vote, D is not.
Moving the D convention to a place 1/4 the size tells me a lot by itself.
Good catch. They said 875 registered voters total, so this is literally a D-50.4% poll
My ass.
That’s a 53-47 sample. I don’t see Dem turnout being 6% higher than ours.