Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Mitt Romney's Ohio Problem [Ohio A Must-Win for Romney or It's All Over!]
ABC OTUS News ^ | September 09, 2012 | Byron Wolf

Posted on 09/09/2012 9:44:24 PM PDT by Steelfish

Mitt Romney's Ohio Problem By Z. Byron Wolf

ABC OTUS News - Mitt Romney's Ohio Problem (ABC News) Forget post-convention bounces - the numbers that really matter are in the battleground states, where President Obama's polling advantage is more concerning to Mitt Romney's team than any national numbers. No Republican has ever won the presidency without winning Ohio, and Romney isn't in a strong position to become the first.

According to ABC News' latest race ratings, President Obama is in strong position for 237 electoral votes, when leaning and solid Democratic states and combined. Mitt Romney has only 206 votes he can expect in his column, as of now.

Add in Ohio's 18 electoral votes, though, and Obama stands at 255 - within striking distance of the magic number of 270. Romney would need to win nearly every other battleground state - a list that includes Paul Ryan's Wisconsin, once thought to be safely Democratic - to pull out the presidency without Ohio.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; oh2012
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 61-8081-100101-120 ... 141-151 next last
To: Steelfish
B.S.

SCROTUS does not stand a chance for re-election and he knows it.

81 posted on 09/10/2012 3:40:59 AM PDT by TangoLimaSierra (To the left the truth looks like Right-Wing extremism.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: tsowellfan
I'm no leftist.

Thanks for telling us. I believe the accusation wasn't leftist, but liar. Of course the two are actually synonymous. Now how did you get hold of the GOP internals on Ohio?

82 posted on 09/10/2012 3:42:25 AM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 49 | View Replies]

Comment #83 Removed by Moderator

To: Republican Wildcat

President Bush only won because he took Ohio BARELY. I don’t see how you think President Bush would have won without Ohio. Kerry was WAY too close to the Presidency.


84 posted on 09/10/2012 3:51:15 AM PDT by napscoordinator (Paul Ryan/Rick Santorum 2012....That would be the best scenario ever.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: tsowellfan; All
With Obama as bad as he is Mitt Romney should be so far ahead that even the most leftist polls in America should be polling Romney with a double digit lead EVERYWHERE.

It’s time for Romney to seriously start thinking about making some staff changes.

I'm glad the Chicken Littles aren't running the Romney campaign. There would be so many fits and starts it would've stalled and committed suicide before it got out of the gate.

You keep trying to pretend this is a normal election. Obama is not John F Kerry. He is not John McCain. How can you dismiss the 'historical nature' of his presidency so easily? It is huge factor.

The only way to move voters away from that is to convince them they aren't wrong, they aren't bad people, they aren't hateful, they aren't racists for letting Obama go because he's not gotten the job done. There is no other way. None. This is exactly why Obama's party hacks and shills keep the race card front and center.

Romney is running the only strategy that makes sense, that has a chance under these circumstances. He's being smart, not reckless as far too many here would prefer he be!

I've never seen so many hand wringers.

85 posted on 09/10/2012 4:06:08 AM PDT by newzjunkey (Election night is 58 days away.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: tsowellfan
The second scariest part is that to debunk current polling data of a particular poll, 25 year old examples are used instead of other current polling data actually showing Mitt Romney ahead.

Why don't you just throw in the towel, go on holiday, sip some tea, chop some wood, knit a sleeping cap... something, anything else, rather than mugging anyone pushing ahead to defeat Obama?

86 posted on 09/10/2012 4:09:12 AM PDT by newzjunkey (Election night is 58 days away.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 44 | View Replies]

To: entropy12; All
The only thing helping Obama is the 48 million food stamps people, teachers unions, trial lawyers, government workers unions, millions of Medicaid recipients, 25 million collecting disability, 99’ers (99 weeks of unemployment checks), free breakfast & lunches in school, rent subsidies, heat subsidies, aid to dependent children aka welfare, and 95% of blacks who are always yelling racial prejudice.

You make me puke. Your class warfare crap is as bad as Obama's. We want to free people from these programs, get them back to earning paychecks, not spit in their faces then kick them in the groin because the Obama economy has made that impossible.

Aside from the "historical nature of his candidacy," the thing helping Obama is a campaign of fear and you're making his case for him.

Why does everyone act like this election is like every other incumbent reelection? It isn't. It's the first of its kind. We can't know if people will act rationally, and throw him out based on his record, or not, because they're afraid: afraid of your contempt for those fallen on hard times, afraid of Obama's race card.

If you can't support Romney/Ryan's positive agenda, positive message, shut up. Sometimes, especially in politics, silence really is golden.

87 posted on 09/10/2012 4:18:28 AM PDT by newzjunkey (Election night is 58 days away.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 47 | View Replies]

To: newzjunkey
I happen to agree with the poster. It's encouraging that Romney is doing as well as he is with all the gimme gimme gimme groups and the way Obama has targeted them as his base and how he has essentially grown it almost exponentially in a mere three and a half years. Now he is creatively pitting women against men with “choice” as a guise of “family planning” which is obstensibly “free birth control”.
88 posted on 09/10/2012 4:24:59 AM PDT by commonguymd (New media has not replaced the MSM. It has emboldened it. twitter @commonguymd)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 87 | View Replies]

To: tsowellfan

Where do you guys get and keep repeating this crap about “Republican internals? NO ONE in the party or the Romney campaign would EVER tell a reporter what their internals are. And certainly not if you were behind. So it’s either disinformation from one side or the other-—from Romney because he wants the Dems to relax or the Dems because they need their peeps to work harder. I talked to a county GOP guy last week and he said that the state and county GOP had not done any polling yet, only fundraising and ID-ing Repubs and indies.


89 posted on 09/10/2012 4:38:17 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

Guess that’s what happens to the senses when you live in CA. The rest of us patriots DO have. dog in this hunt-—NOT OBAMA. The choice is clear, and none of the sanctified “conservatives” could win a primary and St. Sarah wouldn’t even run.


90 posted on 09/10/2012 4:42:03 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: barmag25

I can tell you that I do not hang out with many Dems or “indies” but of those here in OH that I know, many have announced they will vote fro Romney, mostly women.


91 posted on 09/10/2012 4:44:10 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: tsowellfan

What “unsecret ones?” last Ras I saw was tied. Last Ras “swing state” summary I saw-—though no details-—said R was up in “every swing state.” So, let’s see some sources.


92 posted on 09/10/2012 4:47:01 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: tsowellfan

Ah I see. A St Sarah supporter, still bummed that HER internals showed she couldn’t even compete for the nomination. How ‘s that for “internals?”


93 posted on 09/10/2012 4:49:28 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: JediJones

I’m on the ground in OH and can say with great confidence that Romney will do FAR better than McCain with Blu collar voters. It won’t be close, ESP in oil rich SE OH and southern OH. Great blue collar dissatisfaction with Zero. Moreover, the org here is 1000% better under Romney. Our call center made 85,000 calls in a month-—best in the NATION.


94 posted on 09/10/2012 4:54:28 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: JediJones
You and your fellow DU trolls need to understand something. In 2008---I know because I saw the raw precinct numbers in our county---Zero got between 20-25% of REPUBLICAN votes. Yep. We didn't lose because of fraud, or because Zero turned out blacks---tho he did. Our models STILL had McCain winning if he got the Rs because the Rs turned out.

We can never again afford to lose because Rs allow a communist to come in the White House.

95 posted on 09/10/2012 4:59:43 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 42 | View Replies]

To: LS

I have family in Ohio and they say the talk is the same. And this is from union members. There seems to be a lot of freepers losing faith and giving up after reading bogus polls or they are DU trolls.

One thing is for certain, Obama has not done anything that will change the minds of Ohio voters since 2010. What happened in Ohio in 2010 was the Dems lost the race for Governor and lost half (5) of their house seats.

http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/results/ohio

I suspect that 2012 will be no different than 2010. I am unable to find any reason why Obama will get 51% of the vote in Ohio again like he did in 08, But I can find 23 million reason he won’t.

http://elections.nytimes.com/2008/results/states/ohio.html


96 posted on 09/10/2012 5:08:13 AM PDT by barmag25
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 91 | View Replies]

To: TangoLimaSierra

SCROTUS does not stand a chance for re-election and he knows it.

But early voting and vote fraud begins in a matter of days.


97 posted on 09/10/2012 5:20:29 AM PDT by IM2MAD
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 81 | View Replies]

To: barmag25; Perdogg
Some details from the PPP poll, showing this is not only a poll by a DEM polling organization, but specifically directed at DEMS who watched the Dem Convention (I condensed the questions for ease of posting):

"What is your opinion of ELIZABETH WARREN?" (huh???)

"What is your opinion of Martin O'Malley?" (Huh? HUH???)

"Who is more responsible for killing Osama bin Laden---Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?" (HUH? HUH? HUH??????)

"What is your opinion of Michelle Obama?"

"Did the Democratic convention make you more or less likely to vote for Democrats this year, or did it not make a difference?"

"What is your opinion of JULIAN CASTRO?" (Who????)

Actually, this is a DEVASTATING POLL for Obama: His job performance in this clearly Dem poll is only 48% approve, 48% disapprove, and he gets a five point lead in what has to be a 15% Dem oversample?

Obama should be afraid. Very afraid.

98 posted on 09/10/2012 5:57:07 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 96 | View Replies]

To: IM2MAD
But early voting and vote fraud begins in a matter of days.

How true.

99 posted on 09/10/2012 5:59:38 AM PDT by TangoLimaSierra (To the left the truth looks like Right-Wing extremism.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 97 | View Replies]

To: LS

I think its about time for a vanity rant about the polls. I will address it to the freepers of little faith and the trolls on here pushing these polls as fact.


100 posted on 09/10/2012 6:13:42 AM PDT by barmag25
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 98 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 61-8081-100101-120 ... 141-151 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson