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To: nhwingut

Poll respondents aren’t telling the truth. ESPECIALLY the slice of former 0bama voters referenced in the article.

The vote in November will show the Bradly effect showing up large - larger than even the proponents of this effect expect.

JMHO


45 posted on 09/08/2012 11:59:17 AM PDT by Principled (Vote Romney to stop Obama. Vote for conservative Reps and Senators to stop Romney. [ZET 7/30/12])
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To: Principled

Actually, I think it did last time.. Polls had it +12 whites going to obama but actual vote it was +2 whites.. The reason obama was black, latino and college kids.. I just read that but I can’t remember.


51 posted on 09/08/2012 12:01:59 PM PDT by scbison
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To: Principled

I agree.

People need to remember that Dukakis had a 17 POINT LEAD in the Gallup poll after the 1988 Dem convention. And our candidate that year was George Bush I, not a strong candidate. Sort of a Romney-esque guy.

Just google “Dukakis 17 point lead” if people don’t believe this.


146 posted on 09/08/2012 1:59:56 PM PDT by SteveAustin
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To: Principled
The vote in November will show the Bradly effect showing up large - larger than even the proponents of this effect expect.

Didn't happen in 2008 and won't happen now. People need to stop hanging their hat on this political "theory." All of the elections cited to support this so called effect take place nearly 25-30 years ago in the 1980s in two races (three if you want to count Dinkins in NYC), and were single state or city elections (with less sophisticated polling). It's practically bunk. If it were true, times and attitudes have since changed.

175 posted on 09/08/2012 4:26:51 PM PDT by Norman Bates
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