Skip to comments.Romney leads 49% to 46% in poll of 1200 LIKELY voters taken 9/4 - 9/6, skewed towards Dems
Posted on 09/07/2012 9:53:32 PM PDT by County Agent Hank Kimball
September 7, 2012 - National General Election Ballot
Likely voters Sep 4-6
Sample size: 1200 likely voters
Sample dates: September 4-6, 2012
Margin of error: ± 3 percentage points Question wording: If the general election were being held today between Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, the Republicans, for whom would you vote - Obama and Biden or Romney and Ryan? (names rotated)
Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney 85% to 11% among self-described Democrats (38% of likely voters). Romney leads Obama 92% to 5% among self-described Republicans (34% of likely voters). And Romney leads Obama 49% to 44% among self-described independent voters (28% of likely voters).
Romney leads Obama 54% to 41% among men (48% of likely voters). Among women (52% of likely voters), Obama leads Romney 51% to 45%.
Romney leads Obama 57% to 39% among white voters (76% of likely voters). Obama leads Romney 89% to 5% among African American voters (12% of likely voters).
Obama leads Romney 50% to 46% among voters age 18 to 49 (49% of likely voters). Among voters age 50 and older (51% of likely voters), Romney leads Obama 52% to 43%.
Romney leads Obama 50% to 46% among likely voters interviewed on a landline (83% of likely voters). Obama leads Romney 48% to 45% among likely voters interviewed on a cell phone (17% of likely voters).
A total of 46% of likely voters say they would never vote for Obama in the general election and 43% of likely voters say they would never vote for Romney in the general election.
A total of 87% of those likely voters saying they would vote for Obama say they would never vote for Romney. A total of 89% of those likely voters saying they would vote for Romney say they would never vote for Obama.
Definitely looks like BO is in a tailspin to me.
already posted 7 threads below this one
A D+4 sample is probably close to accurate: shifting 2 percent of the sample form D to I (which is probably a little more accurate) may give Romney another percentage point, but the difference it makes isn’t just less than the margin of error, it’s within rounding error.
Rasmussen does regular party ID surveys to update his models, and his last (about a week ago) was exactly opposite: R - 38%; D - 34%
That’s a huge swing.
interesting with over sample of dems the margin could be even bigger. no wonder O looked so constipated
Drudge links to a poll that shows the Obamanation with a post-convention bump that puts him ahead of Romney 46-44%.
bears repeating IMO ;)
In 2004, Zogby had the same aura of mystique that Nate Silver currently carries now.
That’s an Internet poll
That declaration sounds very astute and all but its still the economy stupid and Obama is going down very hard.
“Reagan democrats” are horrified at what they saw at the RAT convention.
“Martha... those people are not us...”
If the party ID is really +4 Rep. Then R/R will win this thing going away.
I’m not convinced it is though. Especially since Rasmussen is the only one using those numbers.
2008 election accuracy— they were pretty good, only slightly tipped to Obama:http://americanresearchgroup.com/ratings/2008/uspresident/
We bring jobs, and O doesn’t.
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