Posted on 09/07/2012 3:23:49 PM PDT by Justaham
A post convention bounce had to be expected with all of the media saturation and fawning. I’m just hoping it’s a dead cat bounce.
It's meaningless. It isn't even a poll of "registered voters". The sample is "adults".
Put it under "file and forget". Or vice versa...
According to several pundits, Bambi's likeability numbers exceed Romneys. The theory was to give the independents, who voted for Bambi first time around, no remorse for the error of being duped. It's okay -- he's a nice guy and many were hung up on his message of Hope and Change but we now can clearly see that the 'nice guy' is not qualified to be President and his policies haven't worked.
PAGE NOT FOUND.
And if it’s adults not RV or LV then who cares. That’s a crap poll.
However I do think Obama will get a bounce then quickly drop due to the very bad jobs report.
Think again:
http://americanresearchgroup.com/
September 7, 2012 - National General Election Ballot
National
Likely voters Sep 4-6
Obama 46%
Romney 49%
Other/Undecided 5%
Sample size: 1200 likely voters
Sample dates: September 4-6, 2012
Margin of error: ± 3 percentage points
Question wording: If the general election were being held today between Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, the Republicans, for whom would you vote - Obama and Biden or Romney and Ryan? (names rotated)
Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney 85% to 11% among self-described Democrats (38% of likely voters). Romney leads Obama 92% to 5% among self-described Republicans (34% of likely voters). And Romney leads Obama 49% to 44% among self-described independent voters (28% of likely voters).
Romney leads Obama 54% to 41% among men (48% of likely voters). Among women (52% of likely voters), Obama leads Romney 51% to 45%.
Romney leads Obama 57% to 39% among white voters (76% of likely voters). Obama leads Romney 89% to 5% among African American voters (12% of likely voters).
Obama leads Romney 50% to 46% among voters age 18 to 49 (49% of likely voters). Among voters age 50 and older (51% of likely voters), Romney leads Obama 52% to 43%.
Romney leads Obama 50% to 46% among likely voters interviewed on a landline (83% of likely voters). Obama leads Romney 48% to 45% among likely voters interviewed on a cell phone (17% of likely voters).
A total of 46% of likely voters say they would never vote for Obama in the general election and 43% of likely voters say they would never vote for Romney in the general election.
A total of 87% of those likely voters saying they would vote for Obama say they would never vote for Romney. A total of 89% of those likely voters saying they would vote for Romney say they would never vote for Obama.
Glad to see ARG’s results, but I do not see them included in the Real Clear Politics average. Romney was up 4 before the Dem convention in Rasmussen’s polling, as of this morning Obama is up 2. That’s a 6 point swing of likely voters in that one poll. Gallup is also showing a very significant bump for Hussein - they’ve got him leading Romney and at 52% approval as of Friday.
It think it is very clear Obama got a noticeable bump where Romney really didn’t get much of anything.
Where is the polling done in — the continent of Africa?? Or the Inner Cities..
Where is the polling done in — the continent of Africa?? Or the Inner Cities..
You mean this? Yup... Gallup has been polling for 80 years, and now they are a laughingstock to anyone serious with statistics.
Obama got a DOJ bump out of Gallup, not from the convention...
RCP doesn’t like ARG for some reason. Look at the primaries. ARG did a lot of polls for those, and RCP didn’t use them, even though they were generally as close as anyone. But they persist in using Gallup who is under the thumb of the DOJ. Go figure
foosh. I wonder what Axelrod SAID to them?? wow.
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