Obama advisers don't expect big bounce in polls

AP ^ | September 6, 2012 | AP

[John W]

CHARLOTTE, N.C. (AP) -- President Barack Obama is expected to lay out his vision for a second term, even as advisers say they don't anticipate a big bounce in the polls following the Democratic National Convention.

White House senior adviser David Plouffe (pluhf) tells ABC's "Good Morning America" he expects the race to remain "tight as a tick" until Election Day.

[Kenton]

President Barack Obama is expected to lay out his vision for a second term, even as advisers say they don't anticipate a big bounce in the polls following the Democratic National Convention.

Yeah, I don't either. Nice try to lower expectations, though. After Obama's venue downsizing from the 76,000 outdoor stadium to the indoor 20,000 seat Time Warner Cable Arena, lower expectations seems to be the theme of this mess.

It's almost as if Obama is out to throw the election, isn't it?

[Lazamataz]

White House senior adviser David Plouffe (pluhf) tells ABC's "Good Morning America" he expects the race to remain "tight as a tick"

LOL... omg.... you have to be kidding me.....

Does the expression "tight as a tick" now mean "overwhelming blowout on the Republican side"?

[erod]

Not to be a wet blanket but he’s gotten a huge bounce on Intrade, he’s currently at 59% to win re-election! So discouraging considering that the DNC convention, at least in my eyes, has been a disaster.

[uncbob]

This is BS
They are just setting it up so when they do get a boost it will look better

[John W]

How accurate is Intrade historically?

[dartuser]

They could also be planning some polls that grossly oversample Dems so they can claim “Wow, the president has unexpectedly jumped to a 5 point lead ... call him the comeback kid who never gives up the fight!”

[erod]

I believe they have called every presidential election accurately. But, there’s still time for a Romney rally.

[Marathoner]

Well, Ras daily tracking has Romney up 3 today. Also, the Messiah's overall approval (46%) barely exceeds strongly disapprove (44%). Take that for what it's worth.

Frankly, I believe most of the Rats listening to Clinton speak wish he was running (like us in 1992 with Reagan).

[Hildy]

Please remember Wisconsin. They were calling it tight an hour into the results.. And it was clear after a minute that Reps were going to win. THEY LIE!

[Hildy]

Please remember Wisconsin. They were calling it tight an hour into the results.. And it was clear after a minute that Reps were going to win. THEY LIE!

[Hildy]

Please remember Wisconsin. They were calling it tight an hour into the results.. And it was clear after a minute that Reps were going to win. THEY LIE!

[anoldafvet]

I would be willing to bet that by tomorrow afternoon there are at least 3 polls that show Obama picking up anywhere between 6 and 10 points. Of course they will have to poll registered voters and over sample democrats by 25% to get those results.

[erod]

I should also mention that Intrade can fluctuate rapidly, pre-convention Obama was at 54% to win re-election, a couple weeks before he was at 54% he was at 62% to win re-election. I imagine what we are seeing is a traditional convention bounce on Intrade. Let me also add that two weeks before the Scott Brown/Martha Coaxley Senate battle, that Coaxley was at 92% to win re-election.

What I would like to see is for Intrade to start matching other polls such as Ras and Gallup. I think it might rest on the debates to see Obama's numbers fall on there.

[Nevadan]

love it!

[Paradox]

Lowering expectations again. They will get a bigger bounce out of this than Romney did from the RNC. It will fade of course, but watch new big news about the big bounce.

[snarkytart]

exactly

[Road Glide]

“Obama advisers don’t expect big bounce in polls”

A “big” bounce won’t matter much, nationally. In two out of three states the bounce won’t matter one way or the other.

But....

If Obama can pull his numbers up just a couple of points in both Ohio and Virginia — he is currently leading in both states now — he may get “just enough” to take those two states in November. Virginia is particularly iffy because of Virgil Goode’s place on the ballot.

If this happens, he wins in the electoral college.
And that means he wins.

Remember the posts here to wit:
“My dog can beat Obama”
“A ham sandwich can beat Obama”....?

What happened?

[gov_bean_ counter]

A liberal using a reference to a blood-sucking parasite.

Stands to reason then that one of their high profile speakers was a fluke...

[Eva]

I don’t think that most people know what a fluke is . You’re the first person that I have seen mention it.

[gov_bean_ counter]

And the speaker in question was an equally disgusting creature...

http://www.bing.com/images/search?q=fluke+worm&qpvt=fluke+worm&FORM=IGRE&adlt=strict