[Marathoner]

Well, Ras daily tracking has Romney up 3 today. Also, the Messiah's overall approval (46%) barely exceeds strongly disapprove (44%). Take that for what it's worth.

Frankly, I believe most of the Rats listening to Clinton speak wish he was running (like us in 1992 with Reagan).

[erod]

I should also mention that Intrade can fluctuate rapidly, pre-convention Obama was at 54% to win re-election, a couple weeks before he was at 54% he was at 62% to win re-election. I imagine what we are seeing is a traditional convention bounce on Intrade. Let me also add that two weeks before the Scott Brown/Martha Coaxley Senate battle, that Coaxley was at 92% to win re-election.

What I would like to see is for Intrade to start matching other polls such as Ras and Gallup. I think it might rest on the debates to see Obama's numbers fall on there.