Some folks have been following intrade for years. I haven’t been motivated to do so. Your perspective could be accurate. I’m just not buying what folks are selling, if they see Obama in a favorable position right now.
If there was any chance at all Obama were going to pull this out, CNN, WP, and other Leftist news outlets wouldn’t call him on anything. Now they’re beginning to.
I think this has become an issue of credibility for them, and waning as they are, I don’t think they can stick with the Obama team. It would be too self-destructive.