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What A Gloomy GOP Campaign Guru Just Told Me
Business Insider via American Enterpise Insititute ^ | 08/27/2012 | James Pethoukoukis

Posted on 08/27/2012 9:37:27 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

A new Washington Post-ABC News poll has Mitt Romney up by a point over Barack Obama 47% to 46%. (46% is a truly horrible number for an incumbent.) But it is going to take more than a few narrow polls to change what I sense to be the widespread mood here that Romney is very narrowly losing, but the race remains winnable.

So it was with great interest that I listened to the thoughts a longtime, much-respected GOP operative, whom I will nickname the Gloomy Guru. Among GG’s observation:

Romney will win North Carolina

Ohio is iffy in GG’s view, though one very smart, very connected Ohio GOPer thinks the state is lost

New Mexico is lost

Colorado looking good

Pennsylvania is fool’s gold, not going to happen

Wisconsin can happen

Virginia will be a dogfight, is critical

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New Mexico
KEYWORDS: 2012; elections; obama; romney
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1 posted on 08/27/2012 9:37:33 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

I’d really like to identify this so called Gloomy Guru.

My first thought is — Ed Rollins.


2 posted on 08/27/2012 9:39:45 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: SeekAndFind

10 weeks away and Romney has barely spent a penny? What a bunch of nonsense. I guess this what passes for news these days.

If Romney opens up 5 points nationally, the state polling is worthless, he’ll win 320 electoral votes


3 posted on 08/27/2012 9:39:57 AM PDT by jb729
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To: SeekAndFind

I agree that Pennsylvania is fool’s gold. But there’s no way Obama wins Virginia again. Virginia is fool’s gold for the Democrats. Obama’s win there was a fluke.


4 posted on 08/27/2012 9:39:57 AM PDT by GunRunner (***Not associated with any criminal actions anonymus by the ATF***)
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To: SeekAndFind

The Akin thing is KILLING US, folks...

All it does is reinforce the media-created stereotype of the “Stoopid Republican!”.


5 posted on 08/27/2012 9:39:59 AM PDT by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: SeekAndFind

I agree that Pennsylvania is fool’s gold. But there’s no way Obama wins Virginia again. Virginia is fool’s gold for the Democrats. Obama’s win there was a fluke.


6 posted on 08/27/2012 9:40:11 AM PDT by GunRunner (***Not associated with any criminal actions anonymus by the ATF***)
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To: GunRunner

Disagree on Pennsylvania being fool’s gold. The Voter ID law + Pennsylvania is like Florida-lite when it comes to seniors. Lots of very old people here who do not like Obamacare.


7 posted on 08/27/2012 9:41:10 AM PDT by jb729
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To: SeekAndFind

How can Romney win if Ohio is teetering towards a loss?


8 posted on 08/27/2012 9:42:05 AM PDT by Shadow44
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To: SeekAndFind

Charlie Crist lol


9 posted on 08/27/2012 9:42:27 AM PDT by italianquaker ( 17 percent of the tea partiers support barry obama, the fox poll said so lol)
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To: SeekAndFind

Yup. I’d wager Rollins. An inept campaigner and always the Eeyore of the GOP-e.


10 posted on 08/27/2012 9:43:35 AM PDT by Lazamataz (Funny but creepy!)
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To: GunRunner

You are right. I do believe that VA is fools gold for the dems. Since 2008, Virginia voters have been correcting their mistake and been voting in droves GOP.


11 posted on 08/27/2012 9:47:02 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: tcrlaf
Visit NBCNews.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy
12 posted on 08/27/2012 9:47:46 AM PDT by Patton@Bastogne (Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin will DEFEAT the Obama-Romney Socialist Gay-Marriage Axis of Evil)
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To: KC_Conspirator

Doesn’t ole Virg give Baraq a shot at a Clintonian plurality win there?


13 posted on 08/27/2012 9:48:51 AM PDT by nascarnation (Defeat Baraq 2012. Deport Baraq 2013)
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To: jb729

Hey..Romney has to have more because of the Machine Democrats have put in place. Alot of people are worried.


14 posted on 08/27/2012 9:48:59 AM PDT by dalebert
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To: SeekAndFind

I’d say we are at the starting line right about now.

Its hard to tell how this will shake out.

I keep looking at the long running approval ratings for Barry...if they are under 50%, its difficult for him to pull it out on election day.


15 posted on 08/27/2012 9:50:20 AM PDT by lacrew (Mr. Soetoro, we regret to inform you that your race card is over the credit limit.)
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To: Shadow44
How can Romney win if Ohio is teetering towards a loss?

Colorado + Wisconsin = 19

Ohio = 18

Lots of possible permutations on the electoral map, mostly around:

Wisconsin, Iowa, OIHO, New Hampshire, Colorado, Nevada, Virginia

16 posted on 08/27/2012 9:51:16 AM PDT by Skulllspitter
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To: nascarnation

Oh with that other doosh? Maybe, its hard to measure.


17 posted on 08/27/2012 9:52:06 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: SeekAndFind
Funny. The "insiders" must not have much inside info. First, a poll yesterday here in OH among REGISTERED voters is a tie (Dems oversampled again, this time by 5). So it's a pretty small but solid Romney lead here.

Second, MI continues to trend Romney. Latest poll there shows not only Mitt winning, but Hoekstra as well. (BTW, Mandel is also tied with Brown here in OH). Now look: it is virtually impossible for Republican senate candidates to be running higher than the top of the ticket across the board. Ain't happening. So if Mandel and Hoekstra are doing that well, you know Romney is in great shape.

18 posted on 08/27/2012 9:52:16 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: SeekAndFind
Hmm.

So it comes down to placating illegals again. A guy squats in your vacation home while you're away. When you finally return, the guy get arrested, but his children are allowed to stay in the house. After all, why should they be punished for something the parent did? Oh yeah, they need to be taken care of now too.

19 posted on 08/27/2012 9:52:48 AM PDT by Sgt_Schultze (A half-truth is a complete lie)
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To: tcrlaf

Oh, that Akin thing?

That’s so “last week”.


20 posted on 08/27/2012 9:52:59 AM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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