Posted on 08/25/2012 9:49:07 AM PDT by Kaslin
Well, it takes 270 electoral votes to win. In spite of all the problems for Obama, he’s got at least 200 electoral votes locked up, from states such as California, New York, the New England states, Illinois, etc.
It’s going to come down to the battleground states, and this election will be close. I’m encouraged by comparisons to 1980, but, it’s going to be lots closer than 1980 was, even with Obama in the Jimmy Carter role this year.
I bleeping do! Who died and left him king of all communication? Enough of this crap!
How many people want to bet me that Romney is paying his bills very quickly, possibly getting a fast pay discount & that Obama has a sizeable Accounts Payable balance?
IF so, the ‘Cash on Hand’ balance at the end of July could really be misleading....
Obama could have an Accounts Payable balance that will eat up most of that cash on hand & Romney’s money is high in cash and very low in Accounts Payable.
I hve worked as a bookkeeper to small businesses for over 35 years.
One client was allowed a 10% discount on his inventory purchases from his major supplier if he paid the bill within 10 days.
He had NEVER done that, in over 25 years in business.
I showed him tht he could do that & save considerable money.
The first year I worked for him, I saved him more money that the money he paid me as an outside contractor.
How many people want to bet me that Romney is paying his bills very quickly, possibly getting a fast pay discount & that Obama has a sizeable Accounts Payable balance?
IF so, the ‘Cash on Hand’ balance at the end of July could really be misleading....
Obama could have an Accounts Payable balance that will eat up most of that cash on hand & Romney’s money is high in cash and very low in Accounts Payable.
I hve worked as a bookkeeper to small businesses for over 35 years.
One client was allowed a 10% discount on his inventory purchases from his major supplier if he paid the bill within 10 days.
He had NEVER done that, in over 25 years in business.
I showed him tht he could do that & save considerable money.
The first year I worked for him, I saved him more money with just that discount than the money he paid me as an outside contractor.
...”No one disputes President Obamas charisma, personal charm and rhetorical skill”....
I dispute all three of those characteristics applied to Obama. I dispute them vehemently, angrily. He is none of those - he is a small, petty, angry, narcissistic fraud who has been shepherded through life via Affirmative Action preferences based on having 50% more melanin in his skin. A comparably skilled Caucasian man would never have reached such heights.
Me? I sense a seething hatred for all policies Obama from real citizens that actually matter. I sense a general dislike for his policies, their effect, and the fear of what will come if he is reaffirmed in his quest to destroy our country.
Persevere, take heart, and stay true. The one thing that is on our side is the sloth and laziness of his voters - especially when they know in their hearts he is wrongly pandering to their greed. They are consumed by greed and laziness, and unless he guarantees them more, they will sit home. They aren't smart enough to leverage their common goals on this....
IOW, feed a bum, you get more bums - see South Park Homeless episode for clarification.
Working as hard as I can to get Romney elected but I am wondering how much more free stuff Obama is going to use to buy his next 4-year vacation?
He is giving away FREE school lunches in 4 states, no regard for family income, and we all know he is going to open the strategic oil reserve around October so he can say he made gas prices go down (and left us with nothing to fall back on in the event of a real emergency - his plan all along).
What’s next with this felonious crowd?
This election will be about who can get his message across better than the other candidate. Even with obama lying through his teeth about everything, voters will buy it if the message resonates.
I am trying to be positive about this but I think obummer is going to slide by with another term, but I hope that I am wrong. Or maybe its just that I live in the bay area and just disillusioned with all the Koolaid drinkers surrounding me.
No one disputes President Obamas charisma, personal charm and rhetorical skill.
I do.
He’s as fake as a $3 bill. His rhetorical skill = can read from a teleprompter in
various ruses of sincerity, humility, emphathy.
Unchained ( borrowing from that great orator Mr. Biden) , he’s your typical
snake oil salesman spewing forth many types of hate and envy.
His charisma is manufactured by the MSM.
He is the later day version of a drug raised 60’s hippie wannabe seer/soothsayer.
Right on
The MSM will keep this “very close” throughout the fall to drive ratings.
My own sense is that the Obama internals are frightful; and we are getting small bits of this, such as the recent Illinois poll.
In 2004, the GOP won despite a -17 enthusiasm gap......well I can’t see how the GOP loses with +12 now.
Not necessary. for one thing it depends on how many rats feel discouraged of going to the polls and the indication is that more are
A Las Vegas “odds maker” opines on why Obama will get “killed” by Romney in November
Wayne Allyn Root
Most political predictions are made by biased pollsters, pundits, or prognosticators who are either rooting for Republicans or Democrats. I am neither. I am a former Libertarian Vice Presidential nominee, and a well-known Vegas odds-maker with one of the most accurate records of predicting political races.
But as an odds-maker with a pretty remarkable track record of picking political races, I play no favorites. I simply use common sense to call them as I see them. Back in late December I released my New Years Predictions. I predicted back then- before a single GOP primary had been held, with Romney trailing for months to almost every GOP competitor from Rick Perry to Herman Cain to Newt- that Romney would easily rout his competition to win the GOP nomination by a landslide. I also predicted that the Presidential race between Obama and Romney would be very close until election day. But that on Election Day Romney would win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in 1980.
Understanding history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding Romney victory. 32 years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing by 9 points to Carter. Romney is right now running even in polls. So why do most pollsters give Obama the edge?
First, most pollsters are missing one ingredient- common sense. Here is my gut instinct. Not one American who voted for McCain 4 years ago will switch to Obama. Not one in all the land. But many millions of people who voted for an unknown Obama 4 years ago are angry, disillusioned, turned off, or scared about the future. Voters know Obama now- and that is a bad harbinger.
Now to an analysis of the voting blocks that matter in U.S. politics:
*Black voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. His endorsement of gay marriage has alienated many black church-going Christians. He may get 88% of their vote instead of the 96% he got in 2008. This is not good news for Obama.
*Hispanic voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. If Romney picks Rubio as his VP running-mate the GOP may pick up an extra 10% to 15% of Hispanic voters (plus lock down Florida ). This is not good news for Obama.
*Jewish voters. Obama has been weak in his support of Israel . Many Jewish voters and big donors are angry and disappointed. I predict Obama’s Jewish support drops from 78% in 2008 to the low 60’s. This is not good news for Obama.
*Youth voters. Obama’s biggest and most enthusiastic believers from 4 years ago have graduated into a job market from hell. Young people are disillusioned, frightened, and broke- a bad combination. The enthusiasm is long gone. Turnout will be much lower among young voters, as will actual voting percentages. This not good news for Obama.
*Catholic voters. Obama won a majority of Catholics in 2008. That won’t happen again. Out of desperation to please women, Obama went to war with the Catholic Church over contraception. Now he is being sued by the Catholic Church. Majority lost. This is not good news for Obama.
*Small Business owners. Because I ran for Vice President last time around, and I’m a small businessman myself, I know literally thousands of small business owners. At least 40% of them in my circle of friends, fans and supporters voted for Obama 4 years ago to “give someone different a chance.” I warned them that he would pursue a war on capitalism and demonize anyone who owned a business...that he’d support unions over the private sector in a big way...that he’d overwhelm the economy with spending and debt. My friends didn’t listen. Four years later, I can’t find one person in my circle of small business owner friends voting for Obama. Not one. This is not good news for Obama.
*Blue collar working class whites. Do I need to say a thing? White working class voters are about as happy with Obama as Boston Red Sox fans feel about the New York Yankees. This is not good news for Obama.
*Suburban moms. The issue isn’t contraception, it’s having a job to pay for contraception. Obama’s economy frightens these moms. They are worried about putting food on the table. They fear for their children’s future. This is not good news for Obama.
*Military Veterans. McCain won this group by 10 points. Romney is winning by 24 points. The more our military vets got to see of Obama, the more they disliked him. This is not good news for Obama.
Add it up. Is there one major group where Obama has gained since 2008? Will anyone in America wake up on election day saying “I didn’t vote for Obama 4 years ago. But he’s done such a fantastic job, I can’t wait to vote for him today.” Does anyone feel that a vote for Obama makes their job more secure?
Forget the polls. My gut instincts as a Vegas odds-maker and common sense small businessman tell me this will be a historic landslide and a world-class repudiation of Obama’s radical and risky socialist agenda. It’s Reagan-Carter all over again.
But I’ll give Obama credit for one thing - he is living proof that familiarity breeds contempt.
Hopefully they represent a very substantial number of people who are being ignored by the media and the pollsters but who will vote--not "for" Romney but against Obama.
In the movie that they showed clips from on Sean Hannity's program Friday evening, a lot of people expressed opposition to Obama's health care law--and these were all people who voted for him in 2008.
Neil Cavuto was talking to Art Laffer on his program on Saturday morning on FNC. Laffer is predicting a landslide win for Romney/Ryan.
There was never any real proof about his intelligence. Let's see those college transcripts. His rhetorical style (to me) is annoying, and without his beloved teleprompter, he always stumbles and says something stupid. As for charismatic, we should always be wary of anyone described like that.
On a thread about Dinesh D’Souza’s new movie, a surprising number of posters on the Deadline Hollywood site are at least claiming to have been Obama in ‘08 and going Romney now.
Problem is, how many people are disappointed in Obama ‘cause he is not socialist ENOUGH? And who else can they vote for?
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