[QT3.14]

Mass-email to campaign supporters entitled THE END?
AM I TOAST IN 2012?
"It's August 23rd.
And 75 days from now,
I'll either be looking at another four years in the White House --
or the end of this opportunity."

[DPMD]

Let’s hope these predictions also factor in the massive voter fraud, especially in the swing/battleground states.

[Don Corleone]

It won’t be over until the ‘fat guy’ Soros sings. Take that to the bank.

[cuban leaf]

Let’s see how favorability plays out after the convention. ;-)

[Family Guy]

Favorability vs Unfavorability is a subjective thing. I have an unfavorable opinion of Romney compared to true conservatives, but he's still going to get my vote this year. Plus, I have a favorable opinion of Ryan.

[HamiltonJay]

Bullspit... The idea Obama has a prayer for re-election is laughable.

Let me reside over the WORST economic stewardship in everyones living collective memory, but I’m going to be re-elected? Its nonsense.

[arrogantsob]

Even if the trend is important, it is not pointing up for The Disaster.

[OrangeHoof]

For those who don’t click the link, the conclusion of the article is that Obama will still win because Obama is more likeable than Romney based on their favorable/unfavorable numbers.

That sounds to me like grasping for a reason to still support the king. I think Romney doesn’t have to be more liked to be elected. I think he needs to appear more competent than Obama to a majority of voters because this election, to many, isn’t about who makes the cutest couple (although that’s likely still true with a lot of women), it’s about which president is most likely to help me/my breadwinner get/keep his job.

[Ingtar]

This is the map that goes with the “big” model mentioned in the article:

http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=tdw

I built it based on the chart in the article.

[Buckeye McFrog]

I think Romney will win. But I think it will be close.

Obama will enter October far behind, and he will panic. He will then throw open the vote buying to unprecedented levels. Student loan forgiveness, mortgage principle cramdowns, restore usury laws to Visa cards, more free
stuff for Seniors, etc. etc. etc.

He will unfortunately be able to buy enough votes with outlandish promises to make things close.

[cdga5for4]

The best leaders couldn’t care less whether or not they are liked. Obama craves being liked or he can’t function.

[Intolerant in NJ]

There is one glaringly obvious factor: the favorability difference between Obama and Romney...those Wharton guys never were very smart when it got into understanding the real-world implications of their big business machinations - that's why they always had to have watered-down sections in math and English for Wharton students separate from those in the College at Penn - in any event, this guy doesn't realize that Romney is looked on unfavorably be both those on the left and the far right - but you can bet many of those on the far right are going to be voting for him in spite of their reservations - all the eqivocating aside, he will win big........

[Starstruck]

I have an unfavorable opinion of Romney. I will vote for him. I have an no freeking way I will vote for that commie POS opinion of Obama. The poll says both are unfavorable.

[SE Mom]

I only want to see slow, steady increases in Romney’s favor. I do not want one of us to get even a little bit complacent.

SOOOoooo much can and likely will happen between now and Election Day I don’t care what the polls say (although I study them every day!)

[what's up]

The "favorability" issue is why the Dems are going to frantically try to co-opt the GOP convention this time around.

They are desperate to define Romney instead of having him define himself.

They defined George Bush for 8 years...now they are trying the same thing with Romney although it's not working as well.

The debates will tell the story. When people see Romney for who he is in the debates they will see he is not the demon these leftists creeps are trying to make him out to be. And these screaming banshees are going to be defeated.

[JediJones]

Romney's consistent negative favorability to unfavorability split is unprecedented in American politics.

OK, so will Romney PLEASE step down for the good of the party and the country? Too much is at stake in this election! Someone tell him to stop being so selfish. And cut off all his funding NOW.

[Cementjungle]

Nothing points to a Romney victory.

Half the country believes everything the MSM feeds them. Half the country thinks that the economy is doing just great. Half the country thinks that Romney will “take away women’s rights”.

Either Romney isn’t fighting back, or the media just isn’t airing his fighting back remarks. Same end result.