Hurricanes down hit Tampa much. This hurricane has already turned west
1) Tampa's just been lucky recently. That luck will run out eventually.
2) Huh? 5 day forecast tracks aren't very accurate, but right now Tampa is smack in the middle of all of the model forecast tracks.
Isaac looks like it will go over the mountainous area of Cuba which means it will be significantly weakened there. Usually storms that threaten the Florida West Coast come in north of Cuba or through the Yucatan strait.
First of all...it's not a hurricane...its a tropical storm. Second...it's never NOT been moving westward (towards the W or WNW)...so there is no already turned west. Cape Verde storms that head towards the mainland ALWAYS head west...before they turn northward.
And it doesn't have to hit Tampa to be a mess. If it comes anywhere close (and is strong) the surge will be an issue...and coastal evacuations are the last thing you want during your convention.