Iran is almost laughable. They are trying to curry favor with Arabs across the Middle-East. At the same time, they are alarming other governments across the same region. When haven’t they spewed against Israel? As a result, you’ve got governments in the region considering giving the U. S. or Israel transit rights. They won’t do it publicly, but I’ll guarantee you Saudi Arabia will not tolerate a nuclear armed Iran.
Syria is desperate. Sure they may try to pull something against Israel. What’s that going to result in? It will result in the leadership of Syria being removed, and Syrian insurgents being successful. That looks an awful lot like Syrian leadership lose/lose to me.
Egypt’s tanks can be taken out in short order. If they move closer than that thirty mile perimeter, that’s what will happen.
So yes, things are ratcheted up in the region. Israel has been here before.
Is military action imminent? I’m not convinced of that at all.
Imminent, no. Highly likely, yes. I wish I shared your optimism about Egypt and Syria, or your assurance that Arabs will do what is rational. They are, on the one hand, thoroughly opportunistic and Macheiavellian to the umpteenth degree. That’s their good point, such as it is. On the other hand, if they’re riled up enough, they are highly prone towards wildly irrational violence.
The MB exists to rile up Muslims. It was founded by a Muslim who got real upset because there were dancing girls shaking their fannies at a British military canteen. It has been inciting pogroms, riots and wars ever since.
It’s now in power in several countries, most notably Egypt, our neighbor, which now has tanks in the Sinai. If Egypt should decide, in a state of religious exuberance following a particularly gory Copt crucifixion, to go to war with Israel, it is dead certainty that Basher Assad will join in, and Saudia’s informal agreement to not look up while Israeli planes are flying to Iran will be in abeyance. To permit it then would cause the King to lose face, you see. For the UN Security Council (which normally can’t agree on the color of s@#%) to fail to pass a resolution condemning the raid would then be unthinkable, perhaps this time with real sanctions to back them up.
It’s all very well to speak of a quick victory by Israel and the collapse of Assad’s regime, thereby fracturing Syria’s alliance with the Shiites in Lebanon and Iran. That’s what the news that happens on TV will talk about.
But I have a nephew in the IDF (I’m his sandek, which is sort of like a godfather), plus my good friends who immigrated from India at the same time we came from America have their only son in uniform now. My son’s tutor from last year is also wearing green and carrying heat. Even quick victories can have some highly personal consequences. Every time I see infants like them strutting down the street with their guns, packs and walky talkies, the prospect of war becomes ever more painful.
I live in Judah and Samaria. The Left would love to bulldoze the lot of us and send us packing. They may get their wish, even if we beat Egypt and Syria yet again, and bomb Iran. Perhaps especially then.
Hopefully an angel will appear from on high and stay the hand of somebody or other from sacrificing these modern-day Isaacs on this unworthy altar. But I doubt it.
Imminent, no. Highly likely, yes. I wish I shared your optimism about Egypt and Syria, or your assurance that Arabs will do what is rational. They are, on the one hand, thoroughly opportunistic and Macheiavellian to the umpteenth degree. That’s their good point, such as it is. On the other hand, if they’re riled up enough, they are highly prone towards wildly irrational violence.
The MB exists to rile up Muslims. It was founded by a Muslim who got real upset because there were dancing girls shaking their fannies at a British military canteen. It has been inciting pogroms, riots and wars ever since.
It’s now in power in several countries, most notably Egypt, our neighbor, which now has tanks in the Sinai. If Egypt should decide, in a state of religious exuberance following a particularly gory Copt crucifixion, to go to war with Israel, it is dead certainty that Basher Assad will join in, and Saudia’s informal agreement to not look up while Israeli planes are flying to Iran will be in abeyance. To permit it then would cause the King to lose face, you see. For the UN Security Council (which normally can’t agree on the color of s@#%) to fail to pass a resolution condemning the raid would then be unthinkable, perhaps this time with real sanctions to back them up.
It’s all very well to speak of a quick victory by Israel and the collapse of Assad’s regime, thereby fracturing Syria’s alliance with the Shiites in Lebanon and Iran. That’s what the news that happens on TV will talk about.
But I have a nephew in the IDF (I’m his sandek, which is sort of like a godfather), plus my good friends who immigrated from India at the same time we came from America have their only son in uniform now. My son’s tutor from last year is also wearing green and carrying heat. Even quick victories can have some highly personal consequences. Every time I see infants like them strutting down the street with their guns, packs and walky talkies, the prospect of war becomes ever more painful.
I live in Judah and Samaria. The Left would love to bulldoze the lot of us and send us packing. They may get their wish, even if we beat Egypt and Syria yet again, and bomb Iran. Perhaps especially then.
Hopefully an angel will appear from on high and stay the hand of somebody or other from sacrificing these modern-day Isaacs on this unworthy altar. But I doubt it.