Posted on 08/15/2012 1:09:26 PM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
(CBS News) Despite conservative enthusiasm surrounding the announcement that Paul Ryan has been tapped as Mitt Romney's presidential running mate, a new Gallup tracking poll shows that the presumptive GOP nominee has not benefited from any material bounce in its poll since the pick was made public.
According to the survey, 47 percent of registered voters surveyed in the four day period following Romney's announcement said they supported Romney, while 45 percent said they would vote for President Obama. In the four days prior to the announcment, 46 percent backed Romney and 45 percent backed Mr. Obama.
(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...
Given the way this poll is set up Romney would win by about five to six points if the election were held today. Around 52% to 47%.
Democrats have the edge in registered voters so Registered Voter polls always over sample Democrats. Problem for the pollsters using this flawed methodology about 40-45% of these polled will not bother to show up election day.
If Romney is winning Register Voter polls, he is kicking 0's butt.
L.O.L.!!!....These damn stupid polls!
People voted with their wallets, not everyone, actually probably very few,answer polls.
I’m with holding any concern - one way or the other - until after the convention. Once Ryan sees extended prime-time coverage - polling after that will be telling...
No bounce? Since the announcement, Romney has gone three consecutive days leading in the Gallup. When was the last time that’s occurred?
Wait until Ryan gives his acceptance speech in Tampa. Then watch the bounce.
Gallup is a LIB SHILL. Rasmussen has it different.
I saw a list of VP announcement bounces, and they range from a couple points to a dozen. So a 2 point bounce might not show up within the margin of error. No biggie, a lead in the Gallup poll looks good to me.
I’m sure there is a mushy middle out there but my sense is you have solid Obama supporters and solid anti Obama voters out there. Most of these people will not change their vote even if a candidate picks Jerry Sandusky as their running “mate”.
A pick that fires up the base without lowering the polls is a good pick.
Also, he’s a good pick because (among other things) he’ll be good in the campaign... which means there’s a built-in long-term bounce.
In the latest poll taken by Free Republic, gallup is still a joke.
How does CBS define a bump? They state that four days prior to Romney picking Ryan that the race stood at Romney 46/Obama45. Then this latest poll shows Romney 47/Obama 45. That is, Obama’s number was stuck at 45 while Romney went up a percentage point. That’s a bounce in my book even if it is as small as the poll could show.
Romney and Ryan are members of the two largest “churches” in the world. As a Christian, Ryan may not be able to wield enough weight to influence secret society membber, “Malibu Ken” No matter who wins the presidency, ait looks like America is doomed.
There’s an effect in polling that I see over the years. There’s decent percentage of people that vote, that do not pay attention to the election until after the conventions, debates, etc.. These are soft voters who are easily influenced by their peers. Once we get closer to the election, and they see who in their life is voting for who, see what the office chatter is, etc.. Romney will begin to add % to his column and end up with a solid blowout.
When did Gallup get into the comedy business?
Well, it was a bounce for their fundraising!
A cynic might say that the real headline should be “Romney Maintains Lead Despite Claims That Veep Pick is Controversial!”
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