There’s an effect in polling that I see over the years. There’s decent percentage of people that vote, that do not pay attention to the election until after the conventions, debates, etc.. These are soft voters who are easily influenced by their peers. Once we get closer to the election, and they see who in their life is voting for who, see what the office chatter is, etc.. Romney will begin to add % to his column and end up with a solid blowout.