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I’ve previously predicted in several posts here that because of demographic changes, it will become increasingly difficult for Republican candidates to “build” an electoral college majority in the decades ahead. The main problem is that the left starts an election cycle with a larger “electoral vote base” than do the Republicans.

As demographics have changed, and as the older cohort of Euro-American voters dies off, states that may once have been “battleground” states topple over to become “true blue” states, perhaps never to “vote red” again. Of course, within such states there may be conservative enclaves (California comes to mind, and the vast majority of Illinois is far more conservative than the Chicago area), but they are overwhelmed electorally by the huge number of “blue voters” who drown out any political voice the right has.

You neglect to mention one very important population trend that cuts in favor of the GOP: the shift of electoral votes toward the "red states" in general, led by solidly "red" Texas. Remember that before the 2010 Census was conducted, many thought that it would be rigged to help the 'Rats increase their power. But the net result is that states that voted for McCain in 2008 will have more total electoral votes in 2012 and states that voted for Zero will have less. Texas alone, IIRC, is getting four more House seats and this means four more electoral votes. So advantage GOP there.

Texas' Hispanic population is still along way from the "tipping point," as the state is now predominantly Republican. And your assumption that Hispanics will continue to vote as sharply Democrat in the future as they do now may not pan out, as other ethnic groups have become less addicted to the 'Rats with the passage of time and more assimilation.

Another fact people seem to forget about in regards to the Hispanic community is their faith. After the attacks this administration has laid on the Catholic Church I think many will be re-thinking their position on voting Dem. That is, if we can keep their illegal counterparts from participating... There is a loud voice in the illegal community that tries to pretend that there are not thousands more who sacrificed to come here LEGALLY and are NOT happy about those who did not. I think there will be some surprises this year for the Dems - that’s why the DOJ is trying so hard to stop the states that are actually trying to reduce the likelihood of voter fraud.

I also can’t imagine that Blacks who attend Baptist Churches are that happy about the recent attacks against their religion and beliefs either. I think many Dems overplayed their hand and exposed their true colors. I pray enough noticed.