Posted on 08/01/2012 3:59:01 AM PDT by tobyhill
President Obama leads Mitt Romney among likely voters in Ohio and Florida - and has a double-digit lead in Pennsylvania - according to a Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times poll released this morning.
The poll, conducted from July 24-30, shows Mr. Obama leading his presumptive Republican challenger 53 percent to 42 percent in Pennsylvania. The 11-point lead results largely from independents, who favor the president by 22 points, and women, who favor the president by 24 points.
Mr. Obama holds a six-point lead in Ohio, 50 percent to 44 percent, a state where he holds a campaign event later today. His lead here is also due in large part to women, who back him by a 21-point margin. Romney leads by ten points among Ohio men, and seven points among Ohio whites.
In Florida, Mr. Obama also holds a six point lead, 51 percent to 45 percent. He holds a small lead among both men and women and a 19-point lead among Hispanics, while Romney leads by double-digits among whites and voters age 65 and above.
(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...
A minimum oversampling of democrats of 6% yields a 6% lead for 0bama?
Yep, looks good! /s
Did you ask them why they became racists?
Note the accompanying CBS/NYT/BS poll: 89% of gun owners would swap their guns for baby unicorns.
I’m not a mole. But a Gallup survey from Jan. 2009 has Oh at solid democrat and Fl. at leans democrat. Now that doesn’t mean they all vote their affiliation...that’s why I posted Oklahoma as an example. But it also doesn’t mean they should make it equal R’s and D’s in their survey.
Why is it that someone, who bought into the notion that the polls were wrong in 2008 and got burned, is labelled a troll/mole when they post a warning based on their experience that things might not be rosy?
Rasmussen also has an Obama lead in Ohio, but only by 2 points.
Rasmussen has a much more likely party affiliation weighting. And to suggest Ohio leans democratic is simply a denial of history.
I forget Rasmussen’s numbers on Florida, but I believe he had a tie or a slight Romney edge.
He also has Romney ahead nationally by a few. The national polls are always deceptive, though, because the election is state-by-state. A national lead, though, says that Romney is holding his own for the time being.
To win, though, he needs to shake loose the swing states. His strategy so far has not accomplished that, but it’s still early.
By this time in 2008, this area (surrounding Pittsburgh) was full of Obama bumper stickers and signs. Not so this year. I don’t know what to make of PA. The non working class will vote for Obama, they are brainwashed. In 2008, the central part of the state was convinced to stay home and not vote, and I see the same people posting on thread after thread here on FR attempting to do the same this year.
Good, I feel a bit better. That’s much better than what I had seen. The 2009 results are what pops up first in yahoo. And, the reason they are believable is because in many red states, people have changed the way they vote but not their registered affiliation.
Oh please. That mantra is tiring.
You GOPe folks sure say that a lot. Well too bad. You gave us a horrible candidate and your pat on the back will be remembered. I can’t wait to prove how horrible Romney is every single day of his Presidency. You will be sorry.
Another likely voter poll = 100 people
Mitt's the nominee.
Obama is the enemy.
I live in OH and have heard disappointed Dem’s expressing their concerns, seriously considering voting for Romney. Son-in-law’s friends that voted for the cool guy last time absolutely voting against him this time. Eyes have been opened - many Dem’s are still patriots and can’t stomach any more BO.
He won FL by 2.8, but we are to believe the margin has almost doubled?
This is the most disgusting type of propaganda, and if they are having to jimmy the numbers this badly, Mitt must not be doing well. He is doing VERY well.
In 2010, Republican Kasich defeated Democrat incumbent Strickland in the Governor's race, Republican Portman held the Senate seat, and Republicans took over the Ohio State House, and increased their majority in the State Senate.
...Fl. at leans democrat.
In 2010, Florida elected Republican Rick Scott over Democrat Alex Sink in the Governor's race, Republican Marco Rubio over Independent Charlie Crist and Democrat Kendrick Meek, and Republicans picked up 5 seats in the State House and 2 seats in the State Senate.
In Pennsylvania in 2010, Republicans elected Tom Corbett as Governor, a switch from Democrat Ed Rendell, held their majority in the State Senate, and took over the State House majority.
A lot has changed in these three states since the poll you cited was taken in January of 2009.
On what issues are they disappointed? Some are angry Obama hasn't hit us hard enough.
Quote:
“I doubt hell take Pennsylvania, but I think Ohio and Florida will break for him.”
I think Romney will take Florida also.
He definitely will if Rubio is chosen as VP.
Ohio will be closer, but I tend to agree with you that Romney will take that too.
Pennsylvania I have no opinion on, as I have not read too much about it’s status.
I pray that day comes, because that would mean that the current occupier is no longer in power.
You don’t know me from Adam, but I tell you this ; There is no greater danger to this country than the little narcissist child in charge of it...
And her husband as well.
If voting for Romney means less of a threat to this nation I love, then you can bet your ass I’ll do it
I personally know two women who voted for Obama who love Romney. Also, my students would vote Dem, but nowhere near in #s like they did in 08.
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