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Obama leads Romney in three key swing states (Another BS CBS Poll)
CBS ^ | 8/1/2012 | Brian Montopoli

Posted on 08/01/2012 3:59:01 AM PDT by tobyhill

President Obama leads Mitt Romney among likely voters in Ohio and Florida - and has a double-digit lead in Pennsylvania - according to a Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times poll released this morning.

The poll, conducted from July 24-30, shows Mr. Obama leading his presumptive Republican challenger 53 percent to 42 percent in Pennsylvania. The 11-point lead results largely from independents, who favor the president by 22 points, and women, who favor the president by 24 points.

Mr. Obama holds a six-point lead in Ohio, 50 percent to 44 percent, a state where he holds a campaign event later today. His lead here is also due in large part to women, who back him by a 21-point margin. Romney leads by ten points among Ohio men, and seven points among Ohio whites.

In Florida, Mr. Obama also holds a six point lead, 51 percent to 45 percent. He holds a small lead among both men and women and a 19-point lead among Hispanics, while Romney leads by double-digits among whites and voters age 65 and above.

(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates
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To: ScottinVA

“Sounds like some PA repubs are enamored with 0bama.”

I guess there are a lot anti-Romney Freepers in PA.


41 posted on 08/01/2012 5:15:50 AM PDT by Londo Molari
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To: Mr. K
He has no where to go but down.

Comparing this poll to the 2008 results:

Florida 2008 - D+2.8, Poll - D+9

Ohio 2008 - D+4, Poll - D+8

Pennsylvania 2008 - D+10.4, Poll - D+6

42 posted on 08/01/2012 5:20:09 AM PDT by Palmetto Patriot (How much better off would we be if these bastards would just leave us alone?)
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To: tobyhill

Lemme guess, those three states are the 55-57th states?


43 posted on 08/01/2012 5:24:06 AM PDT by bgill
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To: tobyhill
Obama leads by 22 among independents in PA

In 2008, during the Obama Hope/Change fever, Obama won independents in PA by 13 points. And 4 years later (after an economic train wreck) he's almost doubled the support?

Right!
44 posted on 08/01/2012 5:24:37 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: tobyhill
(1) Take it for what it's worth. Polling is art, not science. That's why we bother to vote,and don't just say, "Oh, Mr. X is ahead in the poll...he wins!"
What would interest me more is polls shifting when conducted in identical fashion - and even at that "identical" is only a guess.

(2) The campaign has barely begun. In about a month the cannon balls will really be flying. Sadly, there are a lot of ignorant voters - not to mention the illegal ones that Demonrats will protect come hell or high water. I'm afraid a lot hinges on the "debates", because that will be many sheep's first unfiltered look at the candidates.

(3) I believe Romney will win the popular vote. Remember when SoreLoserman won the popular vote, but lost in the Electoral College? All kinds of talk in the Demonrat Media about how EC was a relic that we need to do away with it. (Truth is, it is an important check on localized election corruption.) If the tables are turned in this election, how much do you want to bet there is nary a peep? Any takers?

45 posted on 08/01/2012 5:28:13 AM PDT by Nevermore (...just a typical cracker, clinging to my Constitutional rights...)
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To: PreciousLiberty
Ohio is moving towards obama... It moved Monday to “lean obama”... friends there say Ohio loves obama... they do not understand it either.

LLS

46 posted on 08/01/2012 5:31:43 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (Don't Tread On Me)
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To: Perdogg

Unfortunately all of those states have considerably more people registered as democrats. I don’t think +9 for democrats is an inaccurate sampling.

Even Oklahoma has more people registered as democrats than republicans.

This country is dead. We might as well end the charade, join the EU and be done with it.


47 posted on 08/01/2012 5:32:25 AM PDT by Jake8898
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To: Palmetto Patriot

The bias in this poll is confirmed by looking at the Senate polling. Compared to every other major poll, the Democratic Senatorial Candidates poll 7-8% higher in this skewed poll.


48 posted on 08/01/2012 5:33:11 AM PDT by Murp (!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!)
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To: Nevermore
Jerry Brown: California's Gov Signs Bill Giving State's Electoral Votes To National Popular Vote Winner

Wouldn't that be a kicker. Romney loses key swing states, but then California hands its 55 EVs to Romney for the win. LOL!
49 posted on 08/01/2012 5:34:19 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: LS

But you should get a clue; Romney IS the nominee

Really? You tell me to get a clue and you know full well that we have not had the convention yet. Now who needs to get a clue? I am hoping that some patriots will kick Romney to the curb and put someone conservative in there so we don’t have this “down to the wire” type election where it will be close and either one may win.


50 posted on 08/01/2012 5:34:46 AM PDT by napscoordinator (GO TO CHIC-FIL-A 1 AUGUST FOR BREAKFAST, LUNCH OR DINNER (OR ALL))
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To: Jake8898

Welcome to FR. And you are wrong. Ohio is D+1.5. Florida is D+2. Nice try!


51 posted on 08/01/2012 5:35:40 AM PDT by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else)
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To: napscoordinator

Oh please. That mantra is tiring. If a conservative was nominated they’d be cleaning obie wan kadouchebag’s clock? Yet.. Mitt isn’t a conservative therefore the conservatives will be voting for Obie? Makes no sense. This is a referendum on bozo and bozo alone... And the country will show up to vote vote accordingly. Regardless of Mittie’s stance on killing babies or eating kittens or whatever social issues are argued on the internet... It remains a vote for or against bozo


52 posted on 08/01/2012 5:41:40 AM PDT by JoshuaLawrenceChamberlain
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To: depenzz

Then there are areas like District 12, that kept re-electing John Murtha by a huge margin, even though he called them “rednecks” and worse in 2008.


53 posted on 08/01/2012 5:46:45 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... yet voting doesn't???)
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To: PreciousLiberty
I doubt he’ll take Pennsylvania, but I think Ohio and Florida will break for him.

Something big is going to have to break in Romney's favor for that to happen. If I'm learning one thing about this electorate it's that voters seem to naturally gravitate toward Obama unless some negative economic report nudges them back temporarily.

54 posted on 08/01/2012 5:49:26 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... yet voting doesn't???)
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To: tobyhill

Last week I drove my daughter from Atlanta, GA to New Jersey to visit her grandparents. I did not see one Obama sticker on any car till I got to Pennsylvania (I did see a “Nobama” sticker in Virginia). Once there I saw dozens of cars with Obama 2012 stickers (usually above the Coexist or Celebrate Diversity stickers). Interesting to note I saw a lot of Obama campaign commercials while in New Jersey. I thought that was a safe state for him.


55 posted on 08/01/2012 5:49:31 AM PDT by crusadersoldier
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To: napscoordinator

BULLSHIT!


56 posted on 08/01/2012 5:49:34 AM PDT by redflash ("A dog is a dog until you look him in the face, then he is Mr. Dog!")
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To: nhwingut
Ohio is D+1.5. Florida is D+2

Glad to hear that... who's the source?

57 posted on 08/01/2012 5:59:04 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... yet voting doesn't???)
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To: crusadersoldier

I have seen a few Romney bumperstickers in downtown Fairfax City.


58 posted on 08/01/2012 6:00:34 AM PDT by Perdogg (Let's leave reading things in the Constitution that aren't there to liberals and Dems)
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To: nhwingut
Wouldn't that be a kicker. Romney loses key swing states, but then California hands its 55 EVs to Romney for the win. LOL!

Now that would be a kick in the ass, wouldn't it? The most liberal, lost state in the "union" throwing its EVs to Romney. Oh, the irony!!

59 posted on 08/01/2012 6:01:34 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Buying Drain-O requires photo I.D... yet voting doesn't???)
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To: ScottinVA
that swoon factor is still very much alive among women

"He'll take care of me without 'demanding' anything of me!"

That's it in a nutshell.

60 posted on 08/01/2012 6:02:22 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter knows whom he's working for)
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