[Wonder Warthog]

"Sooner or later they will get it right, but they really don’t have any better idea about what we will get than I do."

Actually, once upon a time, they "did" have a reasonable (and improving) track record. Unfortunately, their premier modeller/predictor said that AGW was BS and not reflected in the appearance of more hurricanes or other weather. He was forced into retirement.

[StAnDeliver]

"Actually, once upon a time, they "did" have a reasonable (and improving) track record. Unfortunately, their premier modeller/predictor said that AGW was BS and not reflected in the appearance of more hurricanes or other weather. He was forced into retirement."

Dr. William Gray did have a run-in with some stoogette in CSU's Engineering School several years ago; but they made Dr. Gray professor emeritus, and he was plenty old enough to retire from active teaching. He still runs the Tropical Meteorology Project at CSU; and he still releases hurricane prediction forecasts.