[Vigilanteman]

Feel free to debate the order of the 9 toss-ups, but I consider it pretty solid based on statewide polls and demographic changes, especially a surge in the illegal alien friendly Hispanic demographic in Colorado and Nevada since 2008.

If you add from the bottom up for Obama or the top down for Romney, the one state they both need is New Hampshire to cross the 270 electoral vote finish line. Obama doesn't need a single state above it. Romney doesn't need a single state below it.

Of course, if the election is a blow-out either way, nobody will need New Hampshire either way. But if it is as razor-thin as some expect, New Hampshire's four electoral votes is the difference between victory and defeat.

[justiceseeker93]

I wouldn't list those states in the same order of likelihood to go to The GOP. I'd put Wisconsin as more likely to go GOP than PA, based on Walker's decisive win in the gubernatorial recall election. Also, I'd put Michigan and Minnesota in the toss-up category as well, and even New Mexico.

[justiceseeker93]

The mere fact that the New York Slimes has the race so close means that Romney likely has the real edge at this point nationally. You can rely on a built-in bias to the 'Rats in any Slimes analysis.

[justiceseeker93]

The mere fact that the New York Slimes has the race so close means that Romney likely has the real edge at this point nationally. You can rely on a built-in bias to the 'Rats in any Slimes analysis.

[justiceseeker93]

The mere fact that the New York Slimes has the race so close means that Romney likely has the real edge at this point nationally. You can rely on a built-in bias to the 'Rats in any Slimes analysis.