It’s a long way to November, but this is a good sign. Obama’s recent actions are backfiring.
He’ll be trailing by 25 soon. Maybe he’ll feign a heart attack...and pass mess to Biden.
50-42 at the link. That’s a bit more than 4.
It was eight yesterday. MR must have had a bad day or two of polling.
When the history of this election is written, his support of gay marriage will be his greatest mistake.
Here is the report card for 2008 polling accuracy. Rasmussen is tops.
http://electoralmap.net/2012/2008_election.php#reportcard
Here is the RCP (Real Clear Politics) polling data today.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html
Generally the polls now showing Romney ahead are the more reliable, the ones showing Obama ahead are the less reliable, based on the report card above.
Rassmussen and Politico have Romney ahead; use Likely Voters, versus Registered Voters.
Gallup, AP and Reuters have Obama ahead; use Registered Voters.
Finally the Rasmussen poll includes some days after Obama’s gay marriage announcement.
The AP and Reuters polls were before this announcement.
This election will depend heavily on the economy which doesn’t help Obama at this time. I expect him to try to manipulate the true picture, so factual data will be conservatives’ friend.
I expect with Romney’s busines management background, his team will be releasing figures damaging to Obama.
I’ve been watching Intrade pretty closely.
Obama’s down on Intrade today.
First time below 59. FWIW.