Posted on 05/10/2012 9:24:07 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Embattled Republican Governor Scott Walker holds a five-point lead over his newly nominated Democratic challenger Tom Barrett in Wisconsin’s special recall election.
A new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey shows that 50% of the state’s Likely Voters prefer Walker while 45% choose Barrett. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate and another two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Wisconsin was conducted on May 9, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.
Data for Rasmussen Reports survey research is collected using an automated polling methodology. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. Generally speaking, the automated survey process is identical to that of traditional, operator-assisted research firms such as Gallup, Harris, and Roper. However, automated polling systems use a single, digitally-recorded, voice to conduct the interview while traditional firms rely on phone banks, boiler rooms, and operator-assisted technology.
For tracking surveys such as the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll or the Rasmussen Consumer Index, the automated technology insures that every respondent hears exactly the same question, from the exact same voice, asked with the exact same inflection every single time.
All Rasmussen Reports' survey questions are digitally recorded and fed to a calling program that determines question order, branching options, and other factors. Calls are placed to randomly-selected phone numbers through a process that insures appropriate geographic representation. Typically, calls are placed from 5 pm to 9 pm local time during the week. Saturday calls are made from 11 am to 6 pm local time and Sunday calls from 1 pm to 9 pm local time.
To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.
After the surveys are completed, the raw data is processed through a weighting program to insure that the sample reflects the overall population in terms of age, race, gender, political party, and other factors. The processing step is required because different segments of the population answer the phone in different ways. For example, women answer the phone more than men, older people are home more and answer more than younger people, and rural residents typically answer the phone more frequently than urban residents.
For surveys of all adults, the population targets are determined by census bureau data.
For political surveys, census bureau data provides a starting point and a series of screening questions are used to determine likely voters. The questions involve voting history, interest in the current campaign, and likely voting intentions.
Rasmussen Reports determines its partisan weighting targets through a dynamic weighting system that takes into account the state’s voting history, national trends, and recent polling in a particular state or geographic area.
I think Walker ends up with 52% of the vote on June 5.
Does anyone seriously think the RAT party in the USSA is going to accept the results of this recall, if the RAT position loses?
RE: I think Walker ends up with 52% of the vote on June 5.
Are you by any chance, from the great state of Wisconsin where you can better gauge the pulse of the local populace?
WI “PINGO”
I think that such a margin is possible, based on the numbers from the primary election.
However, we can’t get complacent here in WI. We need to turn out the vote.
This poll breaks down to about the same percentage Walker won with against the same candidate in 2010.
A lot of hoops, hoopla, shenanigans and bullsh*t for naught.
In a perfect world, Walker would blow him out by 20+%.
I work right in the heart of the beast (Madison).
We need to pray & work & contribute like crazy to secure a win for Walker as well as the 4 WI Repub state senators.
I strenuously object to the notion that a petition drive can force another showdown between candidates.
The step missing before that is for the voters to decide if there should be another election.
As it stands, this should be unconstitutional, and it should be challenged. A legitimate election is being overthrown by just a tiny percentage of those who voted in that election.
The petition should only allow a question to go before the voters: “Should there be another election for governor?” If another FULL ELECTORATE election decides to have another candidate showdown, then it should take place.
Of course not, they'll throw their predictable foul-mouthed temper tantrums and break laws with impunity, courtesy of the jus' dis Department's blessing.
Completely concur, but today we are jazzed. We are feeling confident and the Left has suddenly realized that there is a very real possibility that they will lose on June 5.
You have to understand that for nearly a year and a half the corrupt media has championed the Left-wing lunatics and their Union brethren’s cause. Every Prius and Suburu is plastered with multiple “Recall Walker” stickers. Every day, for a year-and-a-half this has been in our face and we’ve had to just suck it up. I tell you, people are simply spring-loaded to get to the polls and vote for Walker and stuff this back back down their throats.
It will be delicious to see the media after Walker wins. They have been absolutely hyping the "grievances" of the teacher's union and the left since this all began. They have provided no balance just catering to the left, and people are sick and tired of this deliberate effort to distort reality and rewrite facts simply to further their agenda by the media.
This will be a primer for what's to come when we fire Zer0's sorry ass!
If Walker wins, which would be HUGE, any idea what recourse the slime has, in calling for another recall? Can they do this again next year? Year after?
Because you & I know, that any of the legislative victories for Walker & the Repubs will ALWAYS end up being challenged & overruled by some dimTurd RAT bastard, pro-union, SOB, peon county court district judge in Dane County that somehow can make rulings for the entire state of WI.
They could try again but they wont get any $$$$ support to do it.
If people think the recall election is expensive, just wait until the bill for the recount of the recount of the recount of the recount with each recount the dem getting just a few more votes until recount 11 which finally puts the dem 2 votes up thus ending the recount
I've sent a donation to Walker recently.. anyone have ideas as to polling data re: Kleefisch and the Senators?
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.