Posted on 05/02/2012 5:31:33 AM PDT by C19fan
Barack Obama won Virginia by six points in 2008, and if he were up against his almost-certain 2012 opponent Mitt Romney today, he would win it again by a similar margin. If Romney hopes to close that gap, the state’s governor Bob McDonnell would not help, and there is no question that one potential running mate would hurt: Eric Cantor. The Constitution Party candidacy of the state’s former congressman Virgil Goode could also draw votes away from Romney, to Obama’s advantage. Obama tops Romney by eight points, 51-43, up from a six-point (48-42) lead when PPP last polled the state last Demember. These results come among an electorate that reports voting for Obama by only four points over John McCain four years ago.
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
VA is still a pretty conservative state, but there are no conservatives to vote for. Furthermore, Bob McDonnell and his cronyism has given the GOP quite the black eye in the state.
Hope you brought your flame suit to the party..
The YOUR VOTING FOR OBAMA!!!! Crowd will be along shortly to flame you.
Personally. I agree with you.
I am so glad I am not in the foxhole with some Freepers. Don’t panic. If the polls are going so well, why is The Won dragging the head of Osama bin Laden out at every opportunity? It’s Romney or 4 more years.
Count me in as a Virginian for Goode.
That is pure BS. McDonnell has an approval rating in mid 60s.
Since re-election is a referendum on the incumbent, conservatively, 2/3 of the "undecideds" should break for the challenger. (Morris says "all" the undecideds should vote against if the tide is turned against an incumbent -- but I'm not that optimistic.)
Winning 1/3 of the Virginia undecideds would give Obama 47.66%. McCain won 46.4% of the Virginia vote in 2008, so he could do slightly better than that.
So Goode is already pulling 5%, though 62% in the state have no clue as to who he is. Not a bad start. A double-digit showing in November by Virgil will be a good building block.
Yet you are empowering and assisting an even greater evil by helping obama win.
Do you think God or whoever you think will judge you any better for this?
The fact is that either mittens or obama will be POTUS
That was taken before he sold our tunnels to foreigners and turned Hampton Roads into the ring of fire (surrounded by tollbooths). McDonnell and the GOP are done in Hampton Roads, which is about a third of the state.
He *might* win both.Lots and lots of *very* well paid and *very* loyal government "workers" live in VA and lots of "progressives" have moved to the Raleigh-Durham area from NY,NJ,MA,VT,etc.
As a matter of fact this thing could be a landslide for the GOP.
All that headbanging lowered the country's collective IQ. Nowadays it's all about which candidate hands out mo' Obama munny.
I travel 35 miles each way to and from work and have yet to see a single Romney bumper sticker.
Many here on FR believed exactly the same thing about PA, VA, NC and OH back in 2008. The polls just HAD to be wrong.. plus there was always that wonderful wild card of the "Bradley Effect."
Yep, and we’ll be seeing Goode on all the polls from here on out, since the poll numbers are significantly different with him in.
If he can improve to 10, we’ll see a Mondale-style landslide defeat for Romney.
I live in Richmond and I have not seen one Romney sticker or sign. Lots of Obama 2012 crap.
Will be tough for Romney there though it's very possible he can pull off a win.
I'm pulling for VA.
That right there is proof that this one is Barbara Streisand.If,by chance,Osama wins this it will only be by the *slimmest* of margins and he will pull a smaller percentage of the vote versus 2008 in EVERY SINGLE STATE IN THE NATION.And in DC too.
Lots of parasites in Richmond,right? Both welfare parasites and government "worker" parasites.True? Not true?
“Much different demograqphics in VA than in PA, OH, and IA. IA is one of the whitest states in the coutry and a much smaller ratio of bible beaters in PA and OH. Romney could easily win PA, OH, and IA, yet lose VA. Romney being a New England liberal Mormon changes the electoral red/blue map.”
You’re right, he does change the electoral map. If he’s down 13 to Obama in VA - he’ll be down 15+ in PA, MI, MN, WI, and CO; down 10+ in IA, OH, and NV, and probably down 5 in IN and FL, and MO. SC and GA go to tossup.
Romney as the nominee gives the GOP zero advantage in the NE while opening up the entire south to Obama.
Perhaps so. People are having a hard time understanding just how non-viable Romney is. As the weakest of all the choices, the GOP couldn't have made a worse move than to choose him to go forward. He trails in nearly every so-called "swing state."
In short, Romney has no base, no core values, no sure positions on anything... as such, he has no shot. None.
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