Posted on 04/24/2012 3:18:41 PM PDT by VinL
Newt Gingrich has been inching towards the door over the last couple of days, admitting that tonights Delaware primary is likely a make-or-break situation for his campaign. However, a new poll out today might give the former Speaker some pause.
Public Policy Polling shows that Mitt Romney leads in the state of Texas by a 45% to 35% margin, putting Gingrich within striking distance. Coming up lame in his home state, only 14% of GOP supporters support Ron Paul.
More encouraging for Gingrich, or troubling for Romney, is that the presumptive nominee is trailing the former Speaker 45% to 40% among Evangelicals, a major force in Southern Republican politics.
Gingrich also leads among Republicans under the age of 45.
Click here to see the raw numbers.
(Excerpt) Read more at uncoveredpolitics.com ...
So basically, I was exactly correct and you have no real response at all.
Also, when Perry dropped out I supported Newt - until it became obvious he wasn't going to win or force some brokered/contested convention. I am politically savvy enough to know when a politician is BSing about their chances of winning a race, when they are really just having some fun and raising some cash to pay off debt, and when they are really not "in it to win it". Newt can't win the nomination now, he can't stop Willard, and I am sure Gingrich knows both of those things perfectly well. I'd have preferred him just be honest and say, "hey, my campaign is 4 million bucks in the hole and I'd appreciate any donations you can send my way, in the meantime I will keep trying to get the message out for a little while longer".
LOL......
What happens if Romney doesn't get to 1,144 delegates?
I read PPP’s spin on the numbers - which mirrors your take - and I disagree. Right now, the race has been declared “over” by everyone but a few bloggers, and voters have tended to follow suit, and resignedly threw their support to the establishment candidate, Romney.
And yet...a substantial minority of Republicans have refused to take orders from the elite, and have decided to vote their convictions, i.e., to vote for Newt. Granted, the close numbers in TX represent just a modest chance for Newt. He must win Delaware tonight, and win or “place” a close second in NC on May 8th. If that happens, Romney’s inevitability is again placed into question, and more voters will cast conviction votes for Newt, which should cause Gingrich to prevail in TX (a winner-take-all-delegates state.)
And then we’ll have a fun convention.
But all this is moot if Newt doesn’t win Delaware tonight.
In that case, I hope that the convention dumps Romney and picks someone else. My point is that it wouldn't make sense - or be fair - to pick someone who Romney already defeated.
I'm hoping for a strong compromise candidate. Don't ask me who...
This could be a prayer come true. GO NEWT
No, Texas is NOT a winner take all state this election cycle. It's delegates are distributed proportionally. The Santorum camp was hoping that Texas could change to winner take all, but the RNC shot that down immediately. It was one of the reasons cited by the Santorum people for why he suspended his campaign.
But all this is moot if Newt doesnt win Delaware tonight.
If Newt loses Delaware and tries to remain in the race he is really going to look foolish. Delaware is winner take all I believe, so Gigrich has to actually win to get the 17 delegates. A close second gets him nothing. I actually think Newt does have a chance to win Delaware, but I don't see how it will make any difference in the long run. Maybe it would just be nice to see him go out on a high note.
So basically, I was exactly correct and you have no real response at all.
***********
No. Actually, I was just humoring you.
But, if you do have a question, I will be happy to answer it.
Gator,
you’re a natural storyteller. -:)
please, just don’t shoot Hanky-
Well, whether Newt stays in the race or not, I’ll be voting for him here in TX, as long as he is on the ballot. Every freeper vote for Newt to hold Romney’s feet to the conservative fire. Unless somebody can give me a good reason not to.
I was banking on Texas being winner-take-all. And now I need something in the apartment with stronger proof than this red wine. Romney repulses me; he a human zero who wants power as an end in itself.
Guess conservatives should focus down-ticket; federal & state representatives - and governors - as a check against executive power, exercised by Obama or Romney.
:>)
Sorry to have been the bearer of bad news.
It’s over, BTW. With the latest update, Romney took Delaware; Gingrich is second, but pretty far away. Not a good day for America.
I’m in Texas & I’m planning to vote for Newt if he can hold out til then. If not, I’ll vote for Ron Paul or leave it blank rather than vote for Mitt.
To my fellow Texans: have y’all got your voter id cards in the mail yet? I’m getting antsy for mine. For a while the harrisvotes website said they were delayed due to the redistricting, but it didn’t say that when I checked today.
The only reason you say that is because of 24/7 news has completely ignored Newt and Paul as an option and declared Romney the winner. And you fell for it. Too many like you believe that. If they were fair...fat chance of that happening...it would be at least flip-flop with Newt on top by 10. Only about 1/3 of the GOP electorate wants Romney...that means in the general only about 1/6 wants him...another 1/6 will vote straight ticket and GOP loses just like McCain cause no one wanted him either but got stuck with him because of people like you saying others like Rick, Paul, Rick P, Newt have no chance before the 3 largest states have even voted.
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