I still think that Newt can win Texas and North Carolina.
And then what?
If Romney’s at 57 nationally, and Newt’s at 19 - even giving Newt generous adjustments, puts it at 43-33 in TX, and around 47-30 in North Carolina. WV, KY and AR are about 45-31 or thereabouts.
NE, Romney is still under 50. Everywhere else is going to be Romney > 50 percent.
If Newt wants to win a state, his best chance is TX, but he’s down big.