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High Risk Of Severe Weather Saturday (Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Iowa)
Wunderground.com ^ | 4/13/12 | Sean Tanner

Posted on 04/13/2012 3:20:25 AM PDT by dirtboy

Edited on 04/14/2012 10:35:01 AM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]

The Storm Prediction Center has predicted a slight chance of severe weather for parts of Texas and Oklahoma this entire week, thus it should come as no surprise that the weekend holds the best chance of dangerous severe weather.

The Storm Prediction Center has issued an upgraded, high chance of severe weather from central Oklahoma through eastern Kansas (see image below). In addition, there is a moderate risk of severe weather from western Texas through southern Iowa, and a slight risk in the greater area from central Texas through southern Wisconsin.

I cannot stress the severity of this situation enough. Residents living in these regions should prepare for severe weather on Saturday.



TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Iowa; US: Kansas; US: Nebraska; US: Oklahoma
KEYWORDS:
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1 posted on 04/13/2012 3:20:34 AM PDT by dirtboy
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Comment #2 Removed by Moderator

To: dirtboy

Fire up the TIV... Let’s roll!


3 posted on 04/13/2012 3:57:33 AM PDT by laker_dad
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To: dirtboy



4 posted on 04/13/2012 4:56:55 AM PDT by TomGuy
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To: dirtboy
Interesting! That area on NOAA's CONUS map:

http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php

Looks absolutely placid at 9AM local time...

5 posted on 04/13/2012 7:15:52 AM PDT by TXnMA ("Allah": Satan's current alias...)
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To: TXnMA; dirtboy

Ooops! I now see that Kansas is already getting whacked...


6 posted on 04/13/2012 7:19:42 AM PDT by TXnMA ("Allah": Satan's current alias...)
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To: dirtboy

As usually happens with these, I have family smack-dab in the middle of the “high” area and lots scattered in the moderate & slight.

We watched part of a Nova about severe weather last night. They talked a lot about warning systems and how to increase lead time, but pointed out that many times even with 10+ minutes of lead time people still don’t seek shelter soon enough. One of the points made was that people in Tornado Alley tend to pay more attention to weather because they’re all too familiar with the dangers, and that results in those areas having lower death tolls even when large population centers are hit.

My grandmother was fascinating when it came to the topic of tornadoes. She could recount more than a half-dozen times she’d been much too close to a twister before there were radars. Knowing how to spot dangerous weather before it happened was just part of life. Although she never graduated from high school, she knew her weather because it meant survival for her and her kids.


7 posted on 04/13/2012 8:15:49 AM PDT by FourPeas ("Maladjusted and wigging out is no way to go through life, son." -hg)
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To: FourPeas
I think warnings from doppler rotation aloft alone have become somewhat problematic, as often no tornado appears and folks start to view such warnings as crying wolf.

But that also is part of human nature - the NWS is damned if they do issue such warnings and damned if they don't. In the end, those who take such things seriously - such as your grandmother - will be far more likely to survive a tornado hit than those who don't take things seriously - such as the folks in NOLA who thought they could ride out Katrina. Much of the time, there is nothing you can do for the second class of people other than pull their remains out of the wreckage afterwards.

8 posted on 04/13/2012 8:28:25 AM PDT by dirtboy
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Comment #9 Removed by Moderator

To: FourPeas

I called my ex wife in Oklahoma and told her she would be smart to stay home tomorrow afternoon and evening. That is a huge area of high and moderate severe risk.


10 posted on 04/13/2012 5:16:24 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: FourPeas

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2071

This is the second time SPC has issued a “High Risk” forecast this year; the first “High Risk” forecast came for the March 2 tornado outbreak, which killed 41 people and did $1.5 - $2 billion in damage. It is very unusual for SPC to issue a “High Risk” forecast more than a day in advance of a suspected tornado outbreak; according to Wikipedia, today’s “High Risk” forecast is only the second time SPC has ever done this. The other instance was for the April 6 - 8, 2006 tornado outbreak focused over Tennessee, which generated 73 tornadoes that killed 13 and did $1.5 billion in damage. People living in the threatened area need to pay close attention on Saturday to this dangerous severe weather situation.


11 posted on 04/13/2012 6:25:31 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: FourPeas
High / Medium risk area has enlarged in the north and shifted north as well:

Not a good day to be in the eastern 2/3rds of Nebraska.

12 posted on 04/14/2012 5:50:20 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

“Not a good day to be in the eastern 2/3rds of Nebraska.”

Tell me sbout it. I’m in a small town that is basically a suburb of Omaha. The wife and I are feeling pretty nervous about this afternoon and evening.

Jim Cantore from the Weather Channel is here in Omaha. That can’t be good.


13 posted on 04/14/2012 6:06:53 AM PDT by Big Red Clay (Greetings from the Big Red State)
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To: dirtboy

“I called my ex wife in Oklahoma and told her she would be smart to stay home tomorrow afternoon and evening.”

****

You must like your ex-wife. Thinking about telling mine that this weekend is the perfect time for her to visit Oklahoma on her broom.


14 posted on 04/14/2012 6:11:21 AM PDT by peyton randolph (Mitt has more views on an issue than he has pairs of magic underpants)
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To: peyton randolph

Yeah, I’m on good terms with the ex. Although she drives a Prius instead of a broom because she remarried to a Democrat and got all squishy liberal.


15 posted on 04/14/2012 6:15:07 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: Big Red Clay
Jim Cantore from the Weather Channel is here in Omaha. That can’t be good.

You're doomed.

16 posted on 04/14/2012 6:15:51 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: Big Red Clay

Good luck to you and your family. If Jim Cantore is in your neighborhood that is NOT a good thing.


17 posted on 04/14/2012 6:19:20 AM PDT by ohioman
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To: Big Red Clay

Good luck to you and your family. If Jim Cantore is in your neighborhood that is NOT a good thing.


18 posted on 04/14/2012 6:19:33 AM PDT by ohioman
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To: Big Red Clay

Good luck to you and your family. If Jim Cantore is in your neighborhood that is NOT a good thing.


19 posted on 04/14/2012 6:19:45 AM PDT by ohioman
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To: ohioman

Damn. I wish the POST button would work right. (I keep getting the stuck hourglass, which causes multiple posts.)


20 posted on 04/14/2012 6:21:23 AM PDT by ohioman
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