Posted on 03/29/2012 6:03:37 PM PDT by xzins
I did the math for Florida, assuming the same proportional rules as Georgia (remember, Florida doesn't have proportional rules). The Georgia rules, adjusted to the Florida 100 delegates, were 25 statewide delegates, split proportionately between candidates getting more than 20%, and then for each congressional delegation, 3 delegates, given to the winner if >50%, otherwise 2 to winner, 1 to 2nd place.
Then we cut them in half because of the early primary (although in any realistic re-working of the delegates, they would give them back their 100 delegates, they have every year).
Romney gets 15 our of the 25 statewide, won 7 districts with 50% for 21 delegates, and 15 other districts for 30 delegates; Gingrich would get 6 delegates for winning 3 districts, and 15 for the other 15 where he came in 2nd.
That gives Romney 69 to 31, which cut in half would be 34 to 16. Santorum gets zero, because he didn't come in 2nd anywhere.
The same thing would be true for Arizona, but I haven't ran the exact numbers.
Not if you’re George Zimmerman.
I do agree that there isn’t one positive thing to say about Romney other than he isn’t Obama.
However, I cannot in good conscience vote to make a loose cannon like Santorum the chief law enforcement officer.
What If I get attacked by a black criminal and have to kill him in order to save my life?
Is Rick Santorum then going to proclaim me guilty of 1st degree murder?
Rick Santorum is a lawyer, and he doesn’t even seem to have a basic understanding of what defines 1st degree murder, nor does he understand due process or innocent until proven guilty.
I cannot vote for such a man, and quite frankly, much as I wish I could say something else, all the republican candidates are duds.
lol. Well at least we as a country will be in better hands than Romney and Obama with Santorum. Zimmerman will just have to suffer but do all of us have to with the other two in order to save “Zimmerman”? /sorta sarc. Go Santorum anyway. He can’t decide what will happen to Zimmerman anyway.
I don’t know how to answer your question other than to say that I think we are all going to suffer no matter what we do.
Beyond that, I will vote for the GOP nominee without regard to whom it is or my level of distaste for that person. If Santorum gets the nomination, I will vote for him despite what I have said in this thread, because there is no reason I can think of on this earth to allow Obama to have another term.
I already spent my primary vote on Newt here in Fla., so there is no way for me to effect things from this point. I’m just kinda of spewing anger over what Rick said on this Zimmerman matter.
April 3rd is just a few days away: Mitt will win DC and Maryland, both of which are winner-take-all, and will win something like half, maybe a bit more than half the delegates from Wisconsin, which awards some delegates by district and others in proportion to the statewide vote. This will put Mitt at about 650 delegates and Santorum at about 320. Let’s assume Santorum wins Wisconsin, so as to keep hope alive.
Then there’s a lull after which five northeast states vote. One of them is Pennsylvania, in which Santorum would normally have an advantage. Figure another 150 to 160 delegates for Romney, and 70 for Santorum.
I could go on.
All Mitt has to do is keep winning in the blue states, the blue Congressional Districts, getting his share of the delegates awarded in proportion to the vote even if this is less than 50 percent, and keep picking up the super-delegates. To stop this, Santorum has to beat Romney on Romney’s turf. He has not done it, and there’s no reason to think he will.
Contrariwise, Mitt has won only a handful of red states (mostly in the Rocky Mountain west where his Mormonism is an advantage), he has not done well in either the midwest or the south, nor in the rural areas. On the other hand, he is doing well enough to win the nomination.
Mitt will have a real challenge to unite the party, and might not be able to do so completely.
Personally, I think there’s a real chance he will name Newt to be his running mate. I wonder if they talked about this in their no longer secret meeting in New Orleans. Newt could be a very effective Vice President; and, being older, would not be presumed to be the nominee in 2020.
But not Rick Santorum. He’s kind of young. we’d be stuck with him forever. And, he’s kind of embarrassing himself at this point, talking about delegates instead of trying to win Maryland (which is winner take all) as well as Wisconsin (where winning doesn’t mean very much in terms of delegates).
A Mitt-Newt ticket would be interesting. Santorum can wait...he would be the “next in line”, but I DEFINITELY want Santorum in the Administration if he is going to be President one day. If not, then he should go write books and keep up with his social issues because they are good regardless of what the media says.
Any ticket with Romney on it will lose, guaranteed.
Yep, naps, I don’t have a good feeling about the future of America at all. What I have is dread.
Hopefully I am as wrong as I can be.
Really! You mean it's over and Romney's the nominee? Wow! I must have slept through something I missed.
I guess Santorum, Newt, Ron Paul and Rush Limbaugh have not gotten the memo yet.
Amen to that. Not being Bush is exactly how John Kerry ran against Bush. We know where that got him.
Of course George W Bush cant even come close to how terrible Obama has been as President. I suppose we could consider that but I still don't like the idea of not having any ideas and simply running as the "Not Obama" candidate.
I like ideas. That's why I like Newt. I would vote for Santorum (no problem)if he won the nomination. I do not feel he could win the general election though.
Santorum has very shallow views on issues that are very important to the American people this election cycle. His small goverment ideas would be a plus though.
The Obama machine would crush Santorum. I can see it now. Santorum spending all of his time blaming the Obama machine for his being down in the polls and yelling in an anger-like voice during the debates. It wont be pretty.
On the other hand, there's Romney. Romney's a man who will say anything to get elected. He's the type to be pro-gay in San Francisco speeches and anti-gay in Texas. The man's a democrat running as a republican. Romney is NO different and no more conservative than Mayor Bloomberg. Sad but true.
Newt was the best chance we had.
If we end up with Romney then the 2012 election will be determined by how well or how badly Obama does in the campaigns. There's absolutely nothing positive I could tweet about Romney. No excitement at all for him. I will only be able to support a Romney candidate solely by advocating that others not give Obama another term.
I could not go door to door for Romney. I just do not share his ideals (whatever they are).
Nah that’s Newt.
Oh, yeah?
How Stupid Are Some Christians?
http://www.politijim.com/2012/03/how-stupid-are-some-christians.html
Thirty-seven years ago many voters selected Jimmy Carter because he was a social conservative. What a mistake!
I’m seeing folks following Santorum because they believe what he says, but what he says isn’t always the truth.
Have you examined Rick’s spending record in senate? He never voted for even 1 major spending cut in 12 years. But he voted for hundreds of spending increases. He claims it was all for the team. He will be a disaster with the national debt already north of GDP. We are already heading towards a Greek tragedy at breakneck speed.
The only fiscal conservative left is Newt. Romney is a question mark.
Problem with getting to a brokered convention is that the rules are you can’t be on the first ballot if you haven’t won 5 states. And supposedly any delegates you’ve earned all get unbound if you’re not on the ballot. So only Romney and Santorum will be on the first ballot. With only 2 candidates, one of them HAS to win the majority of the delegates on that first vote. So unless Newt can win 3 more states, there are no other possible candidates that could win beyond Mitt and Rick at the convention.
That is UNLESS they literally need 1,144, not just the majority of voting delegates on the first vote, which could mean some delegates could abstain if they had their heart set on a candidate other than Rick and Mitt. Certainly the Paulbots would do this, unless Romney promised them a Paul as the V.P. He or Santorum could also of course promise Newt as the V.P. and get Newt delegates in their court on the first vote.
Santorum should have tried to compete in MD, as it is a closed primary. Maybe he could get old Agnew admirers if any are left, but maybe not. He is from the neighboring states, but I guess ol’ Ben Cardin and Barbara Mikulksi discouraged him from trying out there.
Oh, goodnes, Saint Rick probably has less than half the support GA Jimmy carried for too long. There are far fewer Christians now in the USA.
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