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Obama and the Future Fallacy
Townhall.com ^ | March 20, 2012 | Mona Charen

Posted on 03/20/2012 4:55:43 AM PDT by Kaslin

Speaking to students at a Maryland community college, President Obama indulged one of the left's favorite vanities -- the claim to represent "the future." His topic was energy. The president warned against Republicans who want "an energy strategy for the last century that traps us in the past." He compared today's Republicans who are less enthusiastic than he about government subsidies for "wind, solar and biofuels," to the "flat earth society" and to President Rutherford B. Hayes, who supposedly disdained the telephone.

The president had those students chuckling and grinning and feeling smugly superior to benighted Republicans who are so stuck in the past. They always were; look at Hayes!

You'd think that by now Obama might have been chastened about historical claims. He's the one who told us that America invented the automobile and that John F. Kennedy had met with Nikita Khrushchev when we were on the brink of nuclear war. Actually, Kennedy met Khrushchev a year before the Cuban Missile Crisis, and the car was invented in Germany. And far from dismissing the telephone, Hayes embraced the new technology and was the first president to have one installed at the White House.

If Obama had a better command of history, he'd be embarrassed to persist in the forwards/backwards, past/future meme for which he has such a weakness. He'd know, for example, that the story of Lincoln Steffens visiting the Soviet Union in 1919 and proclaiming, "I have seen the future and it works" is remembered now ironically -- for its obtuseness.

Similarly, Democrats were certain during the Cold War that if we didn't want to be on the "wrong side of history," in Sen. Christopher Dodd's words, we'd stop opposing the communist insurgencies.

Now the president would like to persuade us that the fuels of the future are "green" sources such as solar, wind, biomass and so forth. On multiple occasions, the president has warned that other nations are racing ahead of us to develop green technologies and green energy sources. The stimulus bill contained $2.3 billion in tax credits for "green" manufacturers. But Obama wants us to join just as the others are coming to their senses.

Kenneth P. Green, writing at The American, notes that Obama pin-up, Spain, (lauded by Obama as a "worldwide leader in renewable energy") is in "full retreat" from its solar subsidies. A 2009 study found that since 2000, Spain has spent 571,138 euros for each green job created. The same study estimates that Spain lost 2.2 private sector jobs for every one of those so-called green jobs. Since then, Spain has been backing away from this debacle. According to Bloomberg News:

"Spain halted subsidies for renewable energy projects to help curb its budget deficit and rein in power-system borrowings backed by the state that reached 24 billion euros ($31 billion) at the end of 2011. 'What is today an energy problem could become a financial problem,' Industry Minister Jose Manuel Soria said in Madrid."

Across Europe, reports the Washington Post, governments are cutting way back on subsidies to solar energy. "German policymakers indicated last week that they planned to cut once-generous subsidies as much as 29 percent ... Britain and Italy have made similar moves, and in January, Spain abandoned its subsidies altogether."

Remember Obama's invocation of Chinese progress on solar technologies in his bid for subsidies to Solyndra and the rest? It seems the Chinese were grinding out those solar panels mostly in response to European demand -- an artificial demand that relied almost entirely on the subsidies of European governments. David Baldock, of the Institute for European Environmental Policy, told the Post, "Governments aren't always good at knowing how to profile their subsidies against market conditions." Hmm. Remove the "always" from that sentence, and you're getting somewhere.

Europe is backing away from green energy subsidies because they are a waste of precious resources. The Europeans are also aware, though no one discusses it much, that all of their subsidies haven't reduced Europe's production of CO2 one whit. Because of the EU-wide system of emissions trading, the emissions credits earned by solar and wind plants in Germany and elsewhere have simply gone to older, dirtier plants in Eastern Europe.

Facing devastating deficits and shrinking populations, Europe is rethinking its embrace of the green energy "future." As Miranda Schreurs, director of the Environmental Policy Research Center at the Free University of Berlin told the Post, "Everybody knows we can't go the way we've been going ... It'll break the bank."

Well, not "everybody." Not President Obama.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Government
KEYWORDS: obamanism

1 posted on 03/20/2012 4:55:48 AM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin
Speaking to students at a Maryland community college, President Obama indulged one of the left's favorite vanities ...

Obama only speaks at CCs, high schools, and such because those youngsters are the only people gullible enough to believe his shuck.

2 posted on 03/20/2012 5:01:05 AM PDT by Rummyfan (Iraq: it's not about Iraq anymore, it's about the USA!)
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To: Kaslin

I find those who think they can predict the future and plan for it highly amusing, particularly that they can determine what the “industries of the future” will be so they can be supported.

Think back only to the 50s. 1962. Today is very different from what even the best prophets of the time thought it would be like.

Almost nobody foresaw the collapse of Communism, and even one of the most farseeing of the futurists, RA Heinlein, did not foresee the dominance of computers.

What is the likelihood in the 50s, that anybody could have planned for and subsidized the industries of today effectively?

Not to mention the fact that government operates on political not economic criteria. IOW any government will make decisions on who gets subsidies based on its perception of the political realities rather than the economic ones. The two coincide only occasionally.

The only thing that government can generally subsidieze with some surety of return is basic scientific research. Which research will produce a return is beyond its (or anybody’s) ability to determine.


3 posted on 03/20/2012 5:06:45 AM PDT by Sherman Logan
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To: Kaslin

Do you suppose their blythe admission that they are working for the “future” is some sort of explanation for why they are totally f@&$ing up the present?


4 posted on 03/20/2012 5:15:26 AM PDT by muir_redwoods (No wonder this administration favors abortion; everything they have done is an abortion)
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To: Kaslin

Obama spoke at Prince George’s Community College on Thursday.

Prince George’s County is 65% black, so I am certain he had a captive audience. All Obama voters. He picks his spots.


5 posted on 03/20/2012 5:16:32 AM PDT by Venturer
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To: Rummyfan
Obama only speaks at CCs, high schools, and such because those youngsters are the only people gullible enough to believe his shuck.

There are plenty of older idiots who think he's alright. Hell, they'll support him even if he gets us into a war with Syria or Iran. There are that many gullible people.
6 posted on 03/20/2012 5:33:31 AM PDT by af_vet_rr
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To: Sherman Logan

“The only thing that government can generally subsidieze with some surety of return is basic scientific research.”
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

That only leads to farces such as “MAN MADE GLOBAL WARMING”, Ayn Rand said that “free scientific inquiry” is a redundancy and “governmental scientific inquiry” is a contradiction in terms. She was right. The government never funds anything without taking an interest in what outcome results.


7 posted on 03/20/2012 5:36:32 AM PDT by RipSawyer
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To: Kaslin
The president warned against Republicans who want "an energy strategy for the last century

We must warn against Democrats whose goal is for us to live in the 19th century: packed cheek-by-jowl in cities riding streetcars to work.

8 posted on 03/20/2012 6:18:08 AM PDT by BfloGuy (The final outcome of the credit expansion is general impoverishment.)
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To: Sherman Logan

Remember it was the government that killed Bell Labs


9 posted on 03/20/2012 6:18:52 AM PDT by vortec94
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To: Kaslin

I’m sure all those black kids in PG County are gonna give up their pimped-out cars with coffee can mufflers and neon lights and stereos that could fill an arena for “green” cars.


10 posted on 03/20/2012 6:30:57 AM PDT by NRA1995 (I'll cling to my religion and guns till they're pried from my cold dead fingers!)
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