Does Gary Peters have a realistic shot at beating Hansen Clarke ? I see Southfield Mayor Brenda Lawrence is running as well (another Black candidate), but that would be stunning if Peters pulled an upset. The CBC would probably howl in horror since this district has been electing Blacks since Charles Diggs in 1954 (Conyers in the adjacent seat wouldn’t join him for a decade).
What’s baffling to me is seeing Rusty Carnahan opting to run against Lacy Clay in MO-1 rather than running in the 2nd (I’m similarly surprised the CBC hasn’t criticized him for that).
Fred Upton faaces a conservative primary challenge and it appears to be a serious one.
Peters’s chances of winning would be better if there wasn’t a fourth prominent Dem in the race—a white city official from Southfield who will likely do very well with the Jewish vote. But Peters still might get 30% and win, à la Cohen in TN-09.
I used to have family in Southfield, but I don't know much about Lawrence because my family's been out of there for almost 30 years.
Carnahan may as well as run for his sister’s current job for all the chance he has of returning to the House.