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Poll: Santorum leads Tennessee, throwing Gingrich’s Southern strategy into doubt
TheHill.com ^ | 2/10/12 | Justin Sink

Posted on 02/11/2012 4:20:43 PM PST by Republican Wildcat

A new poll finds Rick Santorum leading in Tennessee, a concerning sign for both Mitt Romney, who hoped the former senator’s bubble would be short-lived, and Newt Gingrich, who is counting on a Super Tuesday sweep of Southern states to help him claw back into the race for the Republican nomination.

Santorum drew 34 percent of likely Republican voters, versus 27 percent for Romney. Gingrich polled third in the state with 16 percent — a disappointing number for a state that borders Georgia, which he represented for 20 years in Congress, and just 3 points higher than Ron Paul. Just 9 percent of Tennessee voters described themselves as undecided.

The news is particularly troubling for the former Speaker, who has seen his support among strong conservatives defect to Santorum’s campaign. Santorum pulled 36 percent of self-identified Republicans, versus 28 percent of those who identify as part of the GOP going for Romney. Gingrich only polled 28 percent of self-identified Republicans.

Among Tea Party voters, Santorum pulls nearly double Gingrich’s support, leading 40 percent to 21 percent. Romney only narrowly trails Gingrich now among Tea Party voters, grabbing 17 percent on his own.

Other core constituencies that used to buoy Gingrich — such as men — are also now leaning toward Santorum. Santorum is the choice of 3 in 10 men, versus 23 percent who pick Romney and 18 percent for Gingrich.

Tennessee will vote March 6, along with nine other Super Tuesday states, and will award 58 delegates to the GOP convention.


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: Tennessee
KEYWORDS: gingrich; romney; santorum; tn2012
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1 posted on 02/11/2012 4:20:53 PM PST by Republican Wildcat
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To: Republican Wildcat

I’m a Santorum supporter but Gingrich needs to stay in this race. He’ll still do better in other southern races while denying those delegates to Romney.


2 posted on 02/11/2012 4:24:16 PM PST by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: Republican Wildcat

Crazy, must be the Rush bump.


3 posted on 02/11/2012 4:25:20 PM PST by Christie at the beach
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To: Republican Wildcat

And just who conducted that “poll”. I’ll soak my britches in gasoline and jump in hell if Santorum OR Willard the liberal wins the state of Tenn. Notice in the so-called poll that
Willard the liberal doubles up on Newt’s numbers. And a cat’s got a carberator and I believe in the tooth fairy.


4 posted on 02/11/2012 4:27:37 PM PST by NKP_Vet (creep.)
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To: Republican Wildcat
Santorum's sweater vests are a powerful icon in the South...NOT

Santorum will peter out in the South. Good guy...nerd!

5 posted on 02/11/2012 4:29:44 PM PST by RoosterRedux (Go Newt!)
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To: NKP_Vet
And just who conducted that “poll”.

http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/primary/rep/tn/

6 posted on 02/11/2012 4:34:45 PM PST by South40 (Mitt is full of Shtt)
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To: RoosterRedux

We shall see....


7 posted on 02/11/2012 4:34:45 PM PST by bjcoop
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To: RoosterRedux

I’m leaning towards Newt too, and a Rick win won’t be that bad but the objective here is to get rid of Myth. I’m not a sweater guy either..looks faggy to me.


8 posted on 02/11/2012 4:36:13 PM PST by max americana (Buttcrack Obama is an idiot)
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To: Christie at the beach

A news story about a poll, without naming the poll. Or am I missing something? This may be the latest PPP dem poll, which had Newt losing SC by 15 pts a day before... the media is really doubling down on Newt... stay strong.


9 posted on 02/11/2012 4:36:45 PM PST by true believer forever (Save the Irish Setters - Vote Newt!)
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To: NKP_Vet

The way this race has been going I wouldn’t place that high of a bet.

Bookmark for later to remind you of your post if Newt does not win Tenn.


10 posted on 02/11/2012 4:37:15 PM PST by digital-olive
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To: Christie at the beach

He is the new non-Romney with no personal life baggage.


11 posted on 02/11/2012 4:37:57 PM PST by cradle of freedom (Long live the Republic !)
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To: Republican Wildcat

Why would the liberal Willie Mitty who hates us Cracker Conservatives in TN think he would do well here ???

In 2008 people were foled and didnt vet him veery well..

They thought it quacks like a chicken so it must be a duck...

he came in 3rd with 23.62% of the vote after Huckabee and McCain...

He got 8 delegates out of 52...

This time people know him better...

He shouldnt do as well..


12 posted on 02/11/2012 4:39:01 PM PST by Tennessee Nana (Romney a Massachusetts moderate which is a liberal by Republican standards)
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To: Republican Wildcat
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/2845243/posts

Santorum is on the ballot in TN but has no delegates running. Gingrich has a full slate statewide and in my CD. This is from 2008 but it's still not clear.

http://susan-lynn.blogspot.com/2008/02/tennessee-republican-primary-explained.html A couple of things from

http://www.tennesseerader.com/republican/bylaws/TRP%20Bylaws.pdf:

Section 3. The official campaign of each Presidential candidate earning Delegate and Alternate positions shall offer Alternate positions to those persons who unsuccessfully sought election to be Delegates, having already met the approval of that Presidential campaign. Each such Delegate candidate shall be offered the right of first refusal to a position as an Alternate to a seat for which he was a candidate, in descending order based on the popular vote count. If all of the positions for a candidate's Alternates are not filled from among such candidates for Delegate, the Presidential campaign shall then choose any bona fide Republican as such Alternate.

Strangely there is no similar statement for filling original delegate slots if there are none to be drawn from in the primary. There is also this from Section 8:

If any provision of this Rule causes a mathematically impossible result, the Executive Committee is hereby authorized to modify the provision so that a mathematically possible result occurs.

Which tells me that the Executive Committee would *not* be bound to appoint Santorum delegates if Santorum wins the primary.

13 posted on 02/11/2012 4:42:59 PM PST by scrabblehack
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To: RoosterRedux

Santorum has had a free pass...just wait until Tenn. knows who the real Santorum is...his record is not that of a fiscal conservative.
Immigration
Voted against increasing the number of immigration investigators
Voted to allow illegal immigrants to receive the earned income credit before becoming citizens
Voted to give SSI benefits to legal aliens.
Voted to give welfare benefits to naturalized citizens without regard to to the earnings of their sponsors.
Voted against hiring an additional 1,000 border partrol agents, paid for by reductions in state grants.

Taxes
Voted against a flat tax.
Voted to increase tobacco taxes to pay for Medicare prescription drugs
Voted to increase tobacco taxes to fund health insurance subsidies for small businesses.
Voted to increase tobacco taxes to pay for an $8 billion increase in child healh insurance.
Voted to increase tobacco taxes to pay for an increase in NIH funding.
Voted twice for internet taxes.
Voted to allow gas tax revenues to be used to subsidize Amtrak.
Voted to strike marriage penalty tax relief and instead provide fines on tobacco companies.
Voted against repealing the Clinton 4.3 cent gas tax increase.
Voted to increase taxes by $2.3 billion to pay for an Amtrak trust fund.
Voted to allow welfare to a minor who had a child out of wedlock and who resided with an adult who was on welfare within the previous two years.
Voted to increase taxes by $9.4 billion to pay for a $9.4 billion increase in student loans.
Voted to say that AMT patch is more important than capital gains and dividend relief.

Welfare
Voted against food stamp reform
Voted against Medicaid reform
Voted against TANF reform
Voted to increase the Social Services Block Grant from $1 billion to $2 billion
Voted to increase the FHA loan from $170,000 to $197,000. Also opposed increasing GNMA guaranty from 6 basis points to 12.
Voted for $2 billion for low income heating assistance.


14 posted on 02/11/2012 4:43:27 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: South40

Tiny poll. 600 interviews.


15 posted on 02/11/2012 4:44:31 PM PST by C. Edmund Wright
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To: RoosterRedux
Looks like the mormon and Foster Friess plan to take out Gingrich by bankrolling Santorum is proceeding quite nicely.

Sad how easily people can be fooled.

16 posted on 02/11/2012 4:47:25 PM PST by Rome2000 ((ROMNEY IS A MORMON MELCHIDEZEK BISHOP -SANTORUM IS FUNDED BY ROMNEY BACKER FOSTER FRIESS))
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To: Republican Wildcat
Santorum will be a no nothing President. He has not the strength to fight the communists Democrats and RINO Republicans. By all indications America will never recover even if Romney, Santorum, or Paul manages to get elected. Better wise up.
17 posted on 02/11/2012 4:49:54 PM PST by Logical me
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To: C. Edmund Wright

I wasn’t vouching for it — I was answering a question.


18 posted on 02/11/2012 4:50:34 PM PST by South40 (Mitt is full of Shtt)
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To: NKP_Vet
I’ll soak my britches in gasoline and jump in hell if Santorum OR Willard the liberal wins the state of Tenn.

You might want to get down to Wal-Marts and see if they have some aloe in stock...just in case.

19 posted on 02/11/2012 4:51:38 PM PST by tbpiper
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To: NKP_Vet
I’ll soak my britches in gasoline and jump in hell if Santorum OR Willard the liberal wins the state of Tenn.

You might want to get down to Wal-Marts and see if they have some aloe in stock...just in case.

20 posted on 02/11/2012 4:51:55 PM PST by tbpiper
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