Poll: Gingrich ahead in Oklahoma

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/02/08/poll-gingrich-ahead-in-oklahoma/ ^ | 1-8-12 | Killough

[VinL]

A new poll released Wednesday shows Newt Gingrich topping the Republican presidential field in Oklahoma, less than a month before the state's Super Tuesday primary on March 6.

Thirty-four percent of likely Republican primary voters said they would back the former House speaker, while 31% said they would vote for Republican frontrunner Mitt Romney, according to the American Research Group survey.

Rick Santorum, who pulled an upset Tuesday night with his three-state victory, came in with 16% and Texas Rep. Ron Paul took fourth place with 10%.

The survey was conducted Monday and Tuesday, entirely before Tuesday night's results revealed Santorum's big victories in Minnesota, Missouri, and Colorado.

The former Pennsylvania senator is campaigning in North Texas on Wednesday with plans to stop in Oklahoma on Thursday. The Sooner State has 43 total Republican delegates.

As for tea party support, Gingrich took a wide lead over his opponents. The poll shows Gingrich with a 46%-26% advantage over Romney among those who support the conservative grassroots movement, while Santorum followed behind with 15% and Paul at 7%.

The former House speaker, who won the South Carolina primary and came in second place in Florida last month, has indicated he plans to aggressively focus on the Southern states.

The American Research Group surveyed 600 likely Republican primary voters in Oklahoma by telephone February 6-7, .

[VinL]

Don’t dance on ol’ Newt’s grave yet. -:)

Ras poll today has it 46-43 Obama/Newt. PPP NC has it 30-30 Newt/Romney- Rick 20%. Newt said yesterday a poll had him up slightly in Ohio.

Newt is an avid student of war strategy- and he compares campaigns to war. Don’t know if he ultimately wins or loses, but rest assured, the man who masterminded the takeover of Congress after 40 yr Dem rule, is not one who doesn’t have a developed and defined strategy.

[Grunthor]

There are things that I like and dislike about both Rick and Newt and would happily vote for either man.

Not the case for the other two.

But at the moment the excitement is with Santorum.....and to those who say that only Myth can beat Obama....I’d rather lose with either Newt or Rick than “win” with Myth.

[skinkinthegrass]

thanks, for the post. :-D
GO! NEWTON!.... fight the Establishment!

[napscoordinator]

totally irrelevant. I will wait until end of this week's polls to see how things really are. Not dancing on Newt's grave but he better do something to get back into action. He was ahead in Minnesota big time and lost big time coming in 4th place. Missouri he was not on the ballot, but he sure was on the ballot in Colorado and came in 3rd. Maine is next and doubt he will do well there (although Santorum probably won't either). Arizona and Michigan are going to be difficult for Newt too. Michigan is blue collar which is Santorum all the way. Santorum will either win or come in second in Michigan. Arizona he will come in 2nd after Romney unless he can do serious campaigning there and win it. Newt might do ok on Super Tuesday maybe.

[Cletus.D.Yokel]

:: is not one who doesn’t have a developed and defined strategy. ::

So, Virginia and Missouri were deliberate and strategic efforts at dis-organization?

[Vigilanteman]

The case for Rick Santorum

1. Who has won the most states without the benefit of their own money, last election's organization or a billionaire casino sugar daddy?
   
2. Who is everybody's second choice when he isn't their first?
   
3. Who can get both the Romney people and the Gingrich people, who hate each other, to vote for him?
   
4. Who has the best record on immigration?
   
5. Who has the best plan for repealing ObamaCare? And is the only GOP candidate who didn't help write or approve legislation which helped spawn this fiasco?
   
6. Who has the best plan for expanding the American economy and strengthening American families?

[napscoordinator]

You can tell that Newt has never had to campaign. Sure he campaigned in his district which of course was gerrymandered, but he never had to campaign in a state wide or national election. I think that is hurting him big time. It is a lot harder than he imagined. He had to convince the House to vote for him as Speaker but that still isn’t anything like campaigning nationally. His ONLY prayer is the next debate. He better knock it out of the park.

[txrangerette]

Romney’s numbers in this poll are too high for Okie Republicans...come on, people!

I think Paul’s numbers would be way higher except Okies common sense says that he’s crazy on foreign policy and is a blame America firster. They also know he’s old and can’t win the nomination or the presidency. But no doubt, otherwise, a lot of them...more than a mere !O%...agree with him on some things.

Santorum will go to OK and Texas and try to drive down Newt’s numbers.

[Marie Antoinette]

Missouri didn’t count for diddly squat, why waste the resources? Turnout was pretty low here, and the only reason I bothered to vote at all was because of rumors floating around about not being allowed to caucus if you didn’t vote in the primary. Covering my bases.

[throwback]

The curve ball may be that while Santorum does have to compete with Newt for conservative votes, he might just be able to pull votes off of Romney; the “most electable” votes. If Santorum can pull from both camps, he would be unique. I noticed last night in Colorado that while he didn’t win Arapahoe county, he did well. I expected based on the WSJ article I read about that county, he would get crushed because it sounded heavily moderate.

[VinL]

totally irrelevant
***********

Hardly irrelevant. Rick won Iowa, and then got nothing out of it. Newt won SC, and then got nothing out of it. Romney won Fla and Nev, and got nothing out of it.

See the current political landscape for what it is- unpredictable.

Newt is looking to sweep the South and win Ohio- that’s his strategy. If he does, he’s back on top— if he doesn’t, he loses.

The poll in Okla, taken in part, yesterday - is relevant, in that regard.

[Gator113]

I have been and continue to be 200% behind Newt, however your words jumped out at me as the best way to describe my bottom line.

“I’d rather lose with either Newt or Rick than “win” with Myth.”

WELL SAID!!!

[Gator113]

I have been and continue to be 200% behind Newt, however your words jumped out at me as the best way to describe my bottom line.

“I’d rather lose with either Newt or Rick than “win” with Myth.”

WELL SAID!!!

[Gator113]

I have been and continue to be 200% behind Newt, however your words jumped out at me as the best way to describe my bottom line.

“I’d rather lose with either Newt or Rick than “win” with Myth.”

WELL SAID!!!

[Grunthor]

Thank You.

[VinL]

So, Virginia and Missouri were deliberate and strategic efforts at dis-organization?
**************

Having a strategy vision, does not automatically result in successful implementation of the plan. Yes, he has some organizational deficiencies—that does not reflect a want of strategy.

[Toespi]

What is his record on immigration, not his position, but record? He didn’t do anything on obamacare because he lost his senate seat by 17%. What is his plan for the economy?

[Berlin_Freeper]

Oklahoma!

[Okieshooter]

“Santorum will go to OK and Texas and try to drive down Newt’s numbers.”

He will be in Oklahoma City and Tulsa tomorrow.

[VinL]

You can tell that Newt has never had to campaign
**********
Nap, please. He dismantled and destroyed the 40year strangle hold that the Dems had on Congress- his Contract with America was a national campaign.

I wish Rick luck- have nothing against him. We’ll see if these wins bring him momentum- but, distorting Newt’s record to make the case, will not make your scenario so.